Armenia vs Latvia Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 25/09

The encounter between Armenia and Latvia is set to kick off at 17:00 on Friday, 25/09, at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals

Why we predict over 1.5 Goals in the second half

Our recommended bet is Second Half – Over 1.5 Goals for the Armenia vs Latvia fixture. We anticipate a more attacking second period, with both teams increasing tempo and risk. Substitutions and stretched defenses could lead to two or more goals after the break.

Key Betting Insights

Armenia

• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Armenia's last 5 matches

Latvia

• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 3 of Latvia's last 5 matches

2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals: 6/5

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	4/6	11/5	10/3	21/20	10/11
	8/11	13/5	7/2	10/11	5/6
	8/11	11/4	7/2	21/20	5/6

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Armenia Preview

Armenia is yet to feature in the UEFA Nations League, so this fixture marks their first outing in the competition.

Looking at Armenia's performance across all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 9

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 6

• Goals Scored: 6 (Avg. 0.67)

• Goals Conceded: 23 (Avg. 2.56)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Armenia

Goals Scored: 6

Goals Conceded: 23

Average Goals Scored: 0.67

Average Goals Conceded: 2.56

Wins: 1

Goal Difference: -17

Date	Game	Result
09/06	Armenia 1 - 1 Moldova	D
06/06	Armenia 1 - 1 Kazakhstan	D
29/03	Armenia 1 - 2 Belarus	L
16/11	Portugal 9 - 1 Armenia	L
13/11	Armenia 0 - 1 Hungary	L

Armenia to win the match: 4/6

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Latvia Preview

On the other hand, Latvia is yet to play a match in the UEFA Nations League, making this their first appearance in the competition.

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 8

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 5

• Goals Scored: 5 (Avg. 0.63)

• Goals Conceded: 15 (Avg. 1.88)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Latvia

Goals Scored: 5

Goals Conceded: 15

Average Goals Scored: 0.63

Average Goals Conceded: 1.88

Wins: 1

Goal Difference: -10

Date	Game	Result
26/03	Gibraltar 0 - 1 Latvia	W
16/11	Serbia 2 - 1 Latvia	L
13/11	North Macedonia 0 - 0 Latvia	D
14/10	Latvia 0 - 5 England	L
11/10	Latvia 2 - 2 Andorra	D

Latvia to win the match: 7/2

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Statistical Insights for Armenia vs Latvia

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Armenia

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D L L L	0.4
Home	D D L L W	1
Away	L L L D L	0.2

Latvia

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L D L D	1
Home	L D L D D	0.6
Away	W L D L L	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

8/11

58.14%

Draw

11/4

26.88%

Away Win

7/2

21.05%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Armenia

4

last 5 matches

Latvia

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams scored the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.

Armenia and Latvia goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Moldova

1

Kazakhstan

1

Belarus

1

Portugal

1

Hungary

0

1

Gibraltar

1

Serbia

0

North Macedonia

0

England

2

Andorra

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Armenia

14

last 5 matches

Latvia

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Armenia conceded +56% more goals than Latvia in the last 5 matches.

Armenia and Latvia goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Moldova

1

Kazakhstan

1

Belarus

2

Portugal

9

Hungary

1

0

Gibraltar

2

Serbia

0

North Macedonia

5

England

2

Andorra

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Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.