Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 06/09

The encounter between Arsenal and Chelsea is set to kick off at 16:30 on Sunday, 06/09.

This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Arsenal Win

Why we predict Arsenal to win the first half

Our betting tip is Arsenal to win the first half.

We expect Arsenal to start strongly, using home advantage to control the early stages. Their attacking intent could see them take a lead into the break.

Key Betting Insights

Arsenal

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• 9 matches against Chelsea ended in a draw
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes

Chelsea

• Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
• 9 matches against Arsenal ended in a draw
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

1st Half Arsenal Win: 6/5

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	4/6	3/1	4/1	4/6	23/20
	4/6	11/4	4/1	4/5	1/1
	4/6	13/5	4/1	4/6	11/10
	8/13	11/4	7/2	8/13	11/10

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Arsenal Preview

Arsenal has completed 2 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 3 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 4 goals (2 per game) and conceded 0 (0 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Arsenal has played 66 matches, scoring 128 goals (1.94 per match) and conceding 43 (0.65 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Arsenal

Goals Scored: 128

Goals Conceded: 43

Average Goals Scored: 1.94

Average Goals Conceded: 0.65

Wins: 47

Goal Difference: 85

Date	Game	Result
31/08	Aston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal	W
21/08	Arsenal 3 - 0 Coventry City	W
16/08	Arsenal 3 - 0 Manchester City	W
30/05	PSG 1 - 1 Arsenal	D
24/05	Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Arsenal	W

Arsenal to win the match: 4/6

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Chelsea Preview

Across 2 Premier League matches, Chelsea has posted 2 victories, 0 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 3 points per fixture. In those games they scored 7 (3.5 per match) and conceded 5 (2.5 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Chelsea has earned 30 wins from 62 matches across all competitions, scoring 118 goals (1.9 per match) and conceding 88 (1.42 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Chelsea

Goals Scored: 118

Goals Conceded: 88

Average Goals Scored: 1.9

Average Goals Conceded: 1.42

Wins: 30

Goal Difference: 30

Date	Game	Result
30/08	Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton	W
27/08	Chelsea 2 - 0 Luton Town	W
24/08	Fulham 2 - 3 Chelsea	W
24/05	Sunderland 2 - 1 Chelsea	L
19/05	Chelsea 2 - 1 Tottenham	W

Chelsea to win the match: 4/1

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Statistical Insights for Arsenal vs Chelsea

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Arsenal vs Chelsea fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Arsenal

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W D W	2.6
Home	W W W W W	3
Away	W D W W D	2.2

Chelsea

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W L W	2.4
Home	W W W L L	1.8
Away	W L D L L	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

4/6

59.52%

Draw

13/5

27.78%

Away Win

4/1

20.83%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Arsenal

10

last 5 matches

Chelsea

12

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Chelsea scored +20% more goals than Arsenal in the last 5 matches.

Arsenal and Chelsea goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Aston Villa

1

Coventry City

3

Manchester City

3

PSG

1

Crystal Palace

2

4

Brighton

2

Luton Town

3

Fulham

1

Sunderland

2

Tottenham

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Arsenal

2

last 5 matches

Chelsea

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Chelsea conceded +300% more goals than Arsenal in the last 5 matches.

Arsenal and Chelsea goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Aston Villa

0

Coventry City

0

Manchester City

0

PSG

1

Crystal Palace

1

3

Brighton

0

Luton Town

2

Fulham

2

Sunderland

1

Tottenham

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Key metrics

Corners

Arsenal

21

last 5 matches

Chelsea

22

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Chelsea received +5% more corners than Arsenal in the last 5 matches.

Arsenal and Chelsea corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Aston Villa

4

Coventry City

8

Manchester City

2

PSG

3

Crystal Palace

4

4

Brighton

9

Luton Town

4

Fulham

2

Sunderland

3

Tottenham

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Key metrics

Cards

Arsenal

9

last 5 matches

Chelsea

12

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Chelsea received +33% more cards than Arsenal in the last 5 matches.

Arsenal and Chelsea cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Aston Villa

1

Coventry City

1

Manchester City

2

PSG

4

Crystal Palace

1

1

Brighton

0

Luton Town

3

Fulham

4

Sunderland

4

Tottenham

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.