Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 12/09
The encounter between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 12/09.
This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Aston Villa Win
Why we predict Aston Villa to win the second half
Our suggested pick is Second Half – Aston Villa Win for the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest encounter.
We anticipate Aston Villa to grow into the game and finish strongly. With attacking substitutes and home momentum, they could take control after the break and win the second half.
Key Betting Insights
Aston Villa
Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches
Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Nottingham Forest
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
4 matches against Aston Villa ended in a draw
Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 5 matches
2nd Half Aston Villa Win: 6/4
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Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa has completed 3 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 0.33 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 0 goals (0 per game) and conceded 5 (1.67 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Aston Villa has played 60 matches, scoring 92 goals (1.53 per match) and conceding 69 (1.15 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Aston Villa
Goals Scored:95
Goals Conceded:71
Average Goals Scored:1.56
Average Goals Conceded:1.16
Wins:34
Goal Difference:24
Date
Game
Result
12/09
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
L
08/09
Club Brugge
2 - 3
Aston Villa
W
05/09
Hull City
0 - 0
Aston Villa
D
31/08
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Arsenal
L
23/08
Brighton
4 - 0
Aston Villa
L
Aston Villa to win the match: 5/4
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Nottingham Forest Preview
Across 3 Premier League matches, Nottingham Forest has posted 0 victories, 2 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 0.67 points per fixture. In those games they scored 2 (0.67 per match) and conceded 3 (1 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Nottingham Forest has earned 19 wins from 60 matches across all competitions, scoring 79 goals (1.32 per match) and conceding 78 (1.3 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Nottingham Forest
Goals Scored:79
Goals Conceded:78
Average Goals Scored:1.32
Average Goals Conceded:1.3
Wins:19
Goal Difference:1
Date
Game
Result
12/09
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
W
05/09
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Tottenham
D
29/08
Liverpool
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
D
25/08
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Leeds
L
22/08
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Leeds
L
Nottingham Forest to win the match: 11/5
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Statistical Insights for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Aston Villa
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
L
L
L
0.8
Home
L
W
W
L
W
1.8
Away
W
D
L
L
W
1.4
Nottingham Forest
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
D
L
L
1
Home
D
L
L
D
D
0.6
Away
D
L
L
W
W
1.4
Favourite
Home Win
5/4
44.44%
Draw
9/4
30.3%
Away Win
11/5
31.25%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Aston Villa
4
last 5 matches
Nottingham Forest
4
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams scored the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest goals scored count, last 5 matches
Club Brugge
3
Hull City
0
Arsenal
0
Brighton
0
PSG
1
2
Aston Villa
0
Tottenham
2
Liverpool
0
Leeds
0
Leeds
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Aston Villa
9
last 5 matches
Nottingham Forest
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Aston Villa conceded +50% more goals than Nottingham Forest in the last 5 matches.
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Club Brugge
2
Hull City
0
Arsenal
1
Brighton
4
PSG
2
1
Aston Villa
0
Tottenham
2
Liverpool
2
Leeds
1
Leeds
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Key metrics
Corners
Aston Villa
15
last 5 matches
Nottingham Forest
14
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Aston Villa received +7% more corners than Nottingham Forest in the last 5 matches.
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest corners count, last 5 matches
Club Brugge
5
Hull City
4
Arsenal
2
Brighton
2
PSG
2
1
Aston Villa
2
Tottenham
5
Liverpool
3
Leeds
3
Leeds
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Key metrics
Cards
Aston Villa
12
last 5 matches
Nottingham Forest
15
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Nottingham Forest received +25% more cards than Aston Villa in the last 5 matches.
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest cards count, last 5 matches
Club Brugge
3
Hull City
0
Arsenal
3
Brighton
3
PSG
3
5
Aston Villa
2
Tottenham
2
Liverpool
4
Leeds
2
Leeds
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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