The encounter between Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 12/09.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Draw
Why we predict the second half to end in a draw
We expect a draw in the second half for the Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn clash.
Neither side may fully dominate after the interval, with both teams managing the game carefully. A tight and balanced second period could end all square.
Key Betting Insights
Borussia Dortmund
Scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
Undefeated in their last 4 clashes
Paderborn
Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
Under 10.5 corners landed in 3 of Paderborn's last 5 matches
2nd Half Draw: 5/2
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Borussia Dortmund Preview
Borussia Dortmund has completed 2 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 3 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 5 goals (2.5 per game) and conceded 2 (1 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Borussia Dortmund has played 51 matches, scoring 105 goals (2.06 per match) and conceding 61 (1.2 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Borussia Dortmund
Goals Scored:108
Goals Conceded:63
Average Goals Scored:2.08
Average Goals Conceded:1.21
Wins:31
Goal Difference:45
Date
Game
Result
12/09
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Paderborn
W
08/09
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 2
Villarreal
W
05/09
Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
W
01/09
HEBC
0 - 5
Borussia Dortmund
W
29/08
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Hamburger SV
W
Borussia Dortmund to win the match: 1/4
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Paderborn Preview
Across 2 Bundesliga matches, Paderborn has posted 0 victories, 1 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 0.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 0 (0 per match) and conceded 1 (0.5 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Paderborn has earned 20 wins from 39 matches across all competitions, scoring 68 goals (1.74 per match) and conceding 53 (1.36 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Paderborn
Goals Scored:68
Goals Conceded:53
Average Goals Scored:1.74
Average Goals Conceded:1.36
Wins:20
Goal Difference:15
Date
Game
Result
12/09
Borussia Dortmund
3 - 0
Paderborn
L
05/09
Paderborn
0 - 1
Freiburg
L
29/08
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Paderborn
D
23/08
Phönix Lübeck
2 - 4
Paderborn
W
17/05
Darmstadt 98
0 - 2
Paderborn
W
Paderborn to win the match: 8/1
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Statistical Insights for Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Borussia Dortmund
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
W
W
L
2.4
Home
W
W
L
W
W
2.4
Away
W
W
W
L
L
1.8
Paderborn
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
L
D
W
W
1.4
Home
L
D
L
W
W
1.4
Away
D
W
W
L
D
1.6
Favourite
Home Win
2/9
81.97%
Draw
11/2
15.38%
Away Win
8/1
11.11%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Borussia Dortmund
14
last 5 matches
Paderborn
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Borussia Dortmund scored +133% more goals than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn goals scored count, last 5 matches
Villarreal
3
Hoffenheim
3
HEBC
5
Hamburger SV
2
Bayern München
1
0
Borussia Dortmund
0
Freiburg
0
Mainz 05
4
Phönix Lübeck
2
Darmstadt 98
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
6
last 5 matches
Paderborn
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.
Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Villarreal
2
Hoffenheim
2
HEBC
0
Hamburger SV
0
Bayern München
2
3
Borussia Dortmund
1
Freiburg
0
Mainz 05
2
Phönix Lübeck
0
Darmstadt 98
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Key metrics
Corners
Borussia Dortmund
39
last 5 matches
Paderborn
21
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Borussia Dortmund received +86% more corners than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn corners count, last 5 matches
Villarreal
9
Hoffenheim
3
HEBC
17
Hamburger SV
3
Bayern München
7
3
Borussia Dortmund
5
Freiburg
2
Mainz 05
9
Phönix Lübeck
2
Darmstadt 98
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Key metrics
Cards
Borussia Dortmund
5
last 5 matches
Paderborn
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Paderborn received +100% more cards than Borussia Dortmund in the last 5 matches.
Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn cards count, last 5 matches
Villarreal
1
Hoffenheim
2
HEBC
0
Hamburger SV
2
Bayern München
0
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Freiburg
2
Mainz 05
2
Phönix Lübeck
2
Darmstadt 98
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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