Brazil vs Japan Prediction | 2026 World Cup | 29/06

Brazil take on Japan at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off at 18:00 on Monday, 29/06.

Football's biggest stage raises the stakes, and there is plenty to know about how these two sides approach the contest.

Below you will find our full breakdown of the match, along with the bet our team rates as the best pick for this match.

Our Recommended Bet

The team at Betting.co.uk has crunched the numbers, weighing each side's recent results, scoring patterns, and defensive record to project how this one is likely to play out.

Our model factors in past meetings, in-tournament trends, and how clinical each team has been at both ends of the pitch.

The recommended bet and the reasoning behind it are below.

Recommended Bet

Brazil Win

Why we predict Brazil to win the match

Our prediction is Brazil to win the match.

We anticipate Brazil to make the most of their home advantage, controlling key phases of play and ultimately taking all three points.

Key Betting Insights

Brazil

• Scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Japan

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Brazil Win: 4/6

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	4/6	13/5	4/1	1/1	4/5
	8/13	11/4	3/1	1/1	8/11
	8/11	5/2	4/1	1/1	5/6
	4/5	11/4	7/2	10/11	8/11

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Brazil Preview

Brazil have built up this record at the 2026 World Cup so far:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 2

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 7 (Avg. 2.33)

• Goals Conceded: 1 (Avg. 0.33)

Widening the lens to every competition this season, Brazil's figures look like this:

• Matches played: 25

• Wins: 13

• Draws: 5

• Losses: 7

• Goals Scored: 43 (Avg. 1.72)

• Goals Conceded: 24 (Avg. 0.96)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Brazil

Goals Scored: 43

Goals Conceded: 24

Average Goals Scored: 1.72

Average Goals Conceded: 0.96

Wins: 13

Goal Difference: 19

Date	Game	Result
24/06	Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil	W
20/06	Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti	W
13/06	Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco	D
06/06	Brazil 2 - 1 Egypt	W
31/05	Brazil 6 - 2 Panama	W

Brazil to win the match: 8/13

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Japan Preview

Japan, meanwhile, head into this tie with the following 2026 World Cup record:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 7 (Avg. 2.33)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1)

Looking across all competitions this season, Japan's numbers come out as follows:

• Matches played: 22

• Wins: 17

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 64 (Avg. 2.91)

• Goals Conceded: 6 (Avg. 0.27)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Japan

Goals Scored: 64

Goals Conceded: 6

Average Goals Scored: 2.91

Average Goals Conceded: 0.27

Wins: 17

Goal Difference: 58

Date	Game	Result
25/06	Japan 1 - 1 Sweden	D
21/06	Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan	W
14/06	Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan	D
31/05	Japan 1 - 0 Iceland	W
31/03	England 0 - 1 Japan	W

Japan to win the match: 4/1

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Statistical Insights for Brazil vs Japan

The table below stacks each side's core numbers up against the benchmark.

Scoring output, both-teams-to-score frequency and the results of their last five matches all feed in, giving you a clearer read on where the value might sit in Brazil vs Japan.

Key metrics

Team Form

Brazil

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W D W W	2.6
Home	W D W W W	2.6
Away	W L W L D	1.4

Japan

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W D W W	2.2
Home	D W W W W	2.6
Away	W D W W L	2

Favourite

Home Win

4/5

55.56%

Draw

11/4

26.39%

Away Win

4/1

20.83%

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Key Metrics

These are the areas that tend to decide betting value: corners, cards, goals scored and goals conceded.

Reading them side by side highlights each team's habits and points you toward the markets with the strongest patterns.

Key metrics

Corners

Brazil

22

last 5 matches

Japan

17

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brazil received +29% more corners than Japan in the last 5 matches.

Brazil and Japan corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Scotland

6

Haiti

4

Morocco

6

Egypt

5

Panama

1

2

Sweden

5

Tunisia

4

Netherlands

5

Iceland

1

England

Key metrics

Cards

Brazil

6

last 5 matches

Japan

3

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brazil received +100% more cards than Japan in the last 5 matches.

Brazil and Japan cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Scotland

2

Haiti

1

Morocco

2

Egypt

1

Panama

0

1

Sweden

0

Tunisia

0

Netherlands

0

Iceland

2

England

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Brazil

15

last 5 matches

Japan

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brazil scored +67% more goals than Japan in the last 5 matches.

Brazil and Japan goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Scotland

3

Haiti

3

Morocco

1

Egypt

2

Panama

6

1

Sweden

4

Tunisia

2

Netherlands

1

Iceland

1

England

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Brazil

4

last 5 matches

Japan

3

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brazil conceded +33% more goals than Japan in the last 5 matches.

Brazil and Japan goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Scotland

0

Haiti

0

Morocco

1

Egypt

1

Panama

2

1

Sweden

0

Tunisia

2

Netherlands

0

Iceland

0

England

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