Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 23/08

The encounter between Brighton and Aston Villa is set to kick off at 14:00 on Sunday, 23/08.

This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Over 10.5 Corners

Why we predict over 10.5 corners

Our pick is Corners – Over 10.5 for the Brighton vs Aston Villa clash.

Expect an open game with sustained attacking pressure from both sides. Frequent deliveries from wide areas and set-piece opportunities could easily push the corner count into double digits.

Key Betting Insights

Brighton

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• 5 matches against Aston Villa ended in a draw
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches

Aston Villa

• Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
• 5 matches against Brighton ended in a draw
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Over 10.5 Corners: 1/1

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	23/20	12/5	11/5	10/11	11/10
	11/8	5/2	2/1	4/6	21/20
	6/5	13/5	2/1	8/11	11/10
	5/4	5/2	2/1	8/11	11/10

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Brighton Preview

Brighton have not played a Premier League match yet this season, so there is no Premier League record to draw on ahead of this fixture.

Across all competitions this season, Brighton has played 43 matches, scoring 66 goals (1.53 per match) and conceding 52 (1.21 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Brighton

Goals Scored: 66

Goals Conceded: 52

Average Goals Scored: 1.5

Average Goals Conceded: 1.18

Wins: 17

Goal Difference: 14

Date	Game	Result
20/08	Tromso 0 - 0 Brighton	D
24/05	Brighton 0 - 3 Manchester United	L
17/05	Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton	L
09/05	Brighton 3 - 0 Wolverhampton	W
02/05	Newcastle United 3 - 1 Brighton	L

Brighton to win the match: 23/20

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Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa are yet to feature in the Premier League this season, so there is no Premier League form to go on here.

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Aston Villa has earned 33 wins from 57 matches across all competitions, scoring 92 goals (1.61 per match) and conceding 64 (1.12 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Aston Villa

Goals Scored: 92

Goals Conceded: 64

Average Goals Scored: 1.61

Average Goals Conceded: 1.12

Wins: 33

Goal Difference: 28

Date	Game	Result
12/08	PSG 2 - 1 Aston Villa	L
24/05	Manchester City 1 - 2 Aston Villa	W
20/05	Freiburg 0 - 3 Aston Villa	W
15/05	Aston Villa 4 - 2 Liverpool	W
10/05	Burnley 2 - 2 Aston Villa	D

Aston Villa to win the match: 11/5

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Statistical Insights for Brighton vs Aston Villa

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Brighton vs Aston Villa fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Brighton

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L L W L	0.8
Home	L W W W L	1.8
Away	D L L D W	1

Aston Villa

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W W D	2
Home	W W L W W	2.4
Away	L W W D L	1.4

Favourite

Home Win

6/5

45.45%

Draw

13/5

27.78%

Away Win

11/5

31.25%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Brighton

4

last 5 matches

Aston Villa

12

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Aston Villa scored +200% more goals than Brighton in the last 5 matches.

Brighton and Aston Villa goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Tromso

0

Manchester United

0

Leeds

0

Wolverhampton

3

Newcastle United

1

1

PSG

2

Manchester City

3

Freiburg

4

Liverpool

2

Burnley

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Brighton

7

last 5 matches

Aston Villa

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.

Brighton and Aston Villa goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Tromso

0

Manchester United

3

Leeds

1

Wolverhampton

0

Newcastle United

3

2

PSG

1

Manchester City

0

Freiburg

2

Liverpool

2

Burnley

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