Brighton vs Leeds Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 05/09
The encounter between Brighton and Leeds is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 05/09.
This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Under 1.5 Goals
Why we predict under 1.5 Goals in the second half
Our betting pick is Second Half – Under 1.5 Goals for the Brighton vs Leeds contest. We expect a cautious approach after the break, especially if one team is protecting a lead. With limited chances, the match could finish with one or no goals in the second half.
Key Betting Insights
Brighton
Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
5 matches against Leeds United ended in a draw
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home games
Leeds
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
5 matches against Brighton ended in a draw
Won 3 of their last 5 matches
2nd Half Under 1.5 Goals: 4/6
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Brighton Preview
Brighton has completed 2 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 1.5 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 7 goals (3.5 per game) and conceded 4 (2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Brighton has played 47 matches, scoring 77 goals (1.64 per match) and conceding 56 (1.19 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Brighton
Goals Scored:77
Goals Conceded:56
Average Goals Scored:1.64
Average Goals Conceded:1.19
Wins:19
Goal Difference:21
Date
Game
Result
30/08
Chelsea
4 - 3
Brighton
L
27/08
Brighton
4 - 0
Tromso
W
23/08
Brighton
4 - 0
Aston Villa
W
20/08
Tromso
0 - 0
Brighton
D
24/05
Brighton
0 - 3
Manchester United
L
Brighton to win the match: 10/11
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Leeds Preview
Across 2 Premier League matches, Leeds has posted 1 victories, 1 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 2 points per fixture. In those games they scored 2 (1 per match) and conceded 1 (0.5 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Leeds has earned 15 wins from 47 matches across all competitions, scoring 63 goals (1.34 per match) and conceding 63 (1.34 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Leeds
Goals Scored:63
Goals Conceded:63
Average Goals Scored:1.34
Average Goals Conceded:1.34
Wins:15
Goal Difference:0
Date
Game
Result
30/08
Leeds
1 - 1
Brentford
D
25/08
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Leeds
W
22/08
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Leeds
W
24/05
West Ham
3 - 0
Leeds
L
17/05
Leeds
1 - 0
Brighton
W
Leeds to win the match: 3/1
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Statistical Insights for Brighton vs Leeds
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Brighton vs Leeds fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Brighton
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
W
D
L
1.4
Home
W
W
L
W
W
2.4
Away
L
D
L
L
D
0.4
Leeds
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
W
W
L
W
2
Home
D
W
W
W
D
2.2
Away
W
W
L
D
L
1.4
Favourite
Home Win
10/11
52.08%
Draw
5/2
28.99%
Away Win
11/4
26.32%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Brighton
11
last 5 matches
Leeds
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Brighton scored +120% more goals than Leeds in the last 5 matches.
Brighton and Leeds goals scored count, last 5 matches
Chelsea
3
Tromso
4
Aston Villa
4
Tromso
0
Manchester United
0
1
Brentford
2
Nottingham Forest
1
Nottingham Forest
0
West Ham
1
Brighton
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Brighton
7
last 5 matches
Leeds
4
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Brighton conceded +75% more goals than Leeds in the last 5 matches.
Brighton and Leeds goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Chelsea
4
Tromso
0
Aston Villa
0
Tromso
0
Manchester United
3
1
Brentford
0
Nottingham Forest
0
Nottingham Forest
3
West Ham
0
Brighton
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Key metrics
Corners
Brighton
30
last 5 matches
Leeds
20
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Brighton received +50% more corners than Leeds in the last 5 matches.
Brighton and Leeds corners count, last 5 matches
Chelsea
7
Tromso
7
Aston Villa
5
Tromso
11
Manchester United
0
5
Brentford
2
Nottingham Forest
2
Nottingham Forest
4
West Ham
7
Brighton
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Key metrics
Cards
Brighton
7
last 5 matches
Leeds
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Leeds received +14% more cards than Brighton in the last 5 matches.
Brighton and Leeds cards count, last 5 matches
Chelsea
3
Tromso
0
Aston Villa
2
Tromso
2
Manchester United
0
0
Brentford
3
Nottingham Forest
1
Nottingham Forest
3
West Ham
1
Brighton
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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