The encounter between Burnley and Middlesbrough is set to kick off at 20:00 on Wednesday, 02/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
BTTS - Yes
Why we predict BTTS - Yes
Our betting recommended bet is BTTS - Yes for the Burnley vs Middlesbrough clash. Considering the attacking prowess of both teams, we're confident that goals will be conceded on both sides.
Key Betting Insights
Burnley
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
5 matches against Middlesbrough ended in a draw
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Middlesbrough
Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
5 matches against Burnley ended in a draw
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
BTTS - Yes: 4/6
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Burnley Preview
Burnley has completed 2 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 0.5 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 3 goals (1.5 per game) and conceded 5 (2.5 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Burnley has played 46 matches, scoring 51 goals (1.11 per match) and conceding 87 (1.89 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Burnley
Goals Scored:52
Goals Conceded:91
Average Goals Scored:1.11
Average Goals Conceded:1.94
Wins:6
Goal Difference:-39
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Norwich City
4 - 1
Burnley
L
26/08
Bradford City
0 - 0
Burnley
D
23/08
West Bromwich
3 - 1
Burnley
L
16/08
Burnley
2 - 2
West Ham
D
08/08
Burnley
1 - 1
Notts County
D
Burnley to win the match: 6/5
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Middlesbrough Preview
Across 2 EFL Championship matches, Middlesbrough has posted 1 victories, 0 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 1.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 3 (1.5 per match) and conceded 3 (1.5 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Middlesbrough has earned 25 wins from 55 matches across all competitions, scoring 81 goals (1.47 per match) and conceding 61 (1.11 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Middlesbrough
Goals Scored:84
Goals Conceded:62
Average Goals Scored:1.5
Average Goals Conceded:1.11
Wins:26
Goal Difference:22
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
West Bromwich
W
25/08
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
W
22/08
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
L
15/08
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Lincoln City
W
07/08
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Wrexham
W
Middlesbrough to win the match: 6/4
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Statistical Insights for Burnley vs Middlesbrough
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Burnley vs Middlesbrough fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Burnley
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
D
L
D
D
0.6
Home
D
D
D
D
L
0.8
Away
L
D
L
L
L
0.2
Middlesbrough
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
L
W
W
2.4
Home
W
W
W
D
W
2.6
Away
W
L
L
L
D
0.8
Home Win
8/5
38.61%
Draw
12/5
29.85%
Favourite
Away Win
8/5
39.06%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Burnley
5
last 5 matches
Middlesbrough
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Middlesbrough scored +100% more goals than Burnley in the last 5 matches.
Burnley and Middlesbrough goals scored count, last 5 matches
Norwich City
1
Bradford City
0
West Bromwich
1
West Ham
2
Notts County
1
3
West Bromwich
3
Doncaster Rovers
1
Blackburn Rovers
2
Lincoln City
1
Wrexham
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Burnley
10
last 5 matches
Middlesbrough
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Burnley conceded +100% more goals than Middlesbrough in the last 5 matches.
Burnley and Middlesbrough goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Norwich City
4
Bradford City
0
West Bromwich
3
West Ham
2
Notts County
1
1
West Bromwich
1
Doncaster Rovers
2
Blackburn Rovers
1
Lincoln City
0
Wrexham
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Key metrics
Corners
Burnley
33
last 5 matches
Middlesbrough
36
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Middlesbrough received +9% more corners than Burnley in the last 5 matches.
Burnley and Middlesbrough corners count, last 5 matches
Norwich City
5
Bradford City
14
West Bromwich
5
West Ham
5
Notts County
4
7
West Bromwich
7
Doncaster Rovers
10
Blackburn Rovers
5
Lincoln City
7
Wrexham
Key metrics
Cards
Burnley
6
last 5 matches
Middlesbrough
4
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Burnley received +50% more cards than Middlesbrough in the last 5 matches.
Burnley and Middlesbrough cards count, last 5 matches
Norwich City
2
Bradford City
0
West Bromwich
2
West Ham
1
Notts County
1
0
West Bromwich
2
Doncaster Rovers
1
Blackburn Rovers
0
Lincoln City
1
Wrexham
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