Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 30/08

The encounter between Chelsea and Brighton is set to kick off at 14:00 on Sunday, 30/08.

This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Brighton Win

Why we predict Brighton to win the first half

Our betting tip is Brighton to win the first half.

Brighton often begin matches with high energy and quick transitions, which could catch Chelsea off guard. The visitors have a good chance to edge in front before the interval.

Key Betting Insights

Chelsea

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Chelsea's last 5 matches

Brighton

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• 4 matches against Chelsea ended in a draw
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 3 of Brighton's last 5 matches

1st Half Brighton Win: 3/1

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/11	3/1	100/1	8/13	5/4
	5/6	11/4	11/4	4/7	11/8
	1/20	14/1	33/1	4/6	23/20
	5/6	11/4	3/1	8/13	5/4

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Chelsea Preview

Chelsea has completed 1 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 3 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 3 goals (3 per game) and conceded 2 (2 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Chelsea has played 60 matches, scoring 112 goals (1.87 per match) and conceding 85 (1.42 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Chelsea

Goals Scored: 114

Goals Conceded: 85

Average Goals Scored: 1.87

Average Goals Conceded: 1.39

Wins: 29

Goal Difference: 29

Date	Game	Result
30/08	Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton	W
27/08	Chelsea 2 - 0 Luton Town	W
24/08	Fulham 2 - 3 Chelsea	W
24/05	Sunderland 2 - 1 Chelsea	L
19/05	Chelsea 2 - 1 Tottenham	W

Chelsea to win the match: 5/6

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Brighton Preview

Across 1 Premier League matches, Brighton has posted 1 victories, 0 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 3 points per fixture. In those games they scored 4 (4 per match) and conceded 0 (0 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Brighton has earned 18 wins from 45 matches across all competitions, scoring 70 goals (1.56 per match) and conceding 52 (1.16 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Brighton

Goals Scored: 74

Goals Conceded: 52

Average Goals Scored: 1.61

Average Goals Conceded: 1.13

Wins: 19

Goal Difference: 22

Date	Game	Result
30/08	Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton	L
27/08	Brighton 4 - 0 Tromso	W
23/08	Brighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa	W
20/08	Tromso 0 - 0 Brighton	D
24/05	Brighton 0 - 3 Manchester United	L

Brighton to win the match: 3/1

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Statistical Insights for Chelsea vs Brighton

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Chelsea vs Brighton fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Chelsea

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W L W L	1.8
Home	W W L L W	1.8
Away	W L D L L	0.8

Brighton

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W D L	1.4
Home	W W L W W	2.4
Away	D L L D W	1

Favourite

Home Win

1/20

96.15%

Draw

3/1

25.32%

Away Win

33/1

2.44%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Chelsea

8

last 5 matches

Brighton

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brighton scored +38% more goals than Chelsea in the last 5 matches.

Chelsea and Brighton goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Luton Town

2

Fulham

3

Sunderland

1

Tottenham

2

Manchester City

0

3

Chelsea

4

Tromso

4

Aston Villa

0

Tromso

0

Manchester United

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Chelsea

6

last 5 matches

Brighton

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brighton conceded +17% more goals than Chelsea in the last 5 matches.

Chelsea and Brighton goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Luton Town

0

Fulham

2

Sunderland

2

Tottenham

1

Manchester City

1

4

Chelsea

0

Tromso

0

Aston Villa

0

Tromso

3

Manchester United

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Key metrics

Corners

Chelsea

22

last 5 matches

Brighton

30

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Brighton received +36% more corners than Chelsea in the last 5 matches.

Chelsea and Brighton corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Luton Town

9

Fulham

4

Sunderland

2

Tottenham

3

Manchester City

4

7

Chelsea

7

Tromso

5

Aston Villa

11

Tromso

0

Manchester United

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Key metrics

Cards

Chelsea

14

last 5 matches

Brighton

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Chelsea received +100% more cards than Brighton in the last 5 matches.

Chelsea and Brighton cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Luton Town

0

Fulham

3

Sunderland

4

Tottenham

4

Manchester City

3

3

Chelsea

0

Tromso

2

Aston Villa

2

Tromso

0

Manchester United