Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Prediction | Europa League | 16/07

The encounter between Derry City and CSKA Sofia is set to kick off at 18:30 on Thursday, 16/07, at Brandywell Stadium.

This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams’ recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals

Why we predict over 2.5 Goals in the second half

Our prediction is Second Half – Over 2.5 Goals for the Derry City vs CSKA Sofia encounter. An intense, end-to-end finish is expected, with both sides likely to press hard in search of goals. Three or more second-half goals are possible if the match becomes open and free-flowing.

Key Betting Insights

Derry City

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

CSKA Sofia

• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 3 of CSKA Sofia's last 5 matches

2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals: 3/1

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	13/5	3/1	5/6	4/6	1/1
	11/4	11/4	5/6	4/6	10/11
	11/4	11/4	4/5	4/5	1/1
	11/4	12/5	4/5	8/13	10/11

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Derry City Preview

Derry City is coming to the clash with CSKA Sofia with the current statistics in the Europa League:

• Matches played: 1

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 2 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 3)

When having a broader look at Derry City's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 26

• Wins: 6

• Draws: 11

• Losses: 9

• Goals Scored: 34 (Avg. 1.31)

• Goals Conceded: 34 (Avg. 1.31)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Derry City

Goals Scored: 34

Goals Conceded: 34

Average Goals Scored: 1.31

Average Goals Conceded: 1.31

Wins: 6

Goal Difference: 0

Date	Game	Result
09/07	CSKA Sofia 3 - 2 Derry City	L
03/07	Derry City 2 - 4 Waterford	L
26/06	Derry City 2 - 0 Drogheda United	W
22/06	Shamrock Rovers 1 - 1 Derry City	D
19/06	Galway United 2 - 1 Derry City	L

Derry City to win the match: 11/4

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CSKA Sofia Preview

On the other hand, CSKA Sofia comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:

• Matches played: 1

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 3 (Avg. 3)

• Goals Conceded: 2 (Avg. 2)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 37

• Wins: 19

• Draws: 9

• Losses: 9

• Goals Scored: 50 (Avg. 1.35)

• Goals Conceded: 32 (Avg. 0.86)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

CSKA Sofia

Goals Scored: 50

Goals Conceded: 32

Average Goals Scored: 1.35

Average Goals Conceded: 0.86

Wins: 19

Goal Difference: 18

Date	Game	Result
09/07	CSKA Sofia 3 - 2 Derry City	W
25/05	Ludogorets 1 - 0 CSKA Sofia	L
16/05	Levski Sofia 2 - 0 CSKA Sofia	L
13/05	CSKA Sofia 1 - 1 CSKA 1948 Sofia	D
08/05	CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 - 1 CSKA Sofia	W

CSKA Sofia to win the match: 4/5

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Statistical Insights for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

Here’s a statistical breakdown comparing each team’s key metrics to the league average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Derry City vs CSKA Sofia fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Derry City

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L W D L	0.8
Home	L W W D D	1.6
Away	L D L L D	0.4

CSKA Sofia

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L L D W	1.4
Home	W D W L D	1.6
Away	L L W W W	1.8

Home Win

11/4

26.67%

Draw

12/5

29.41%

Favourite

Away Win

4/5

55.56%

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Key Metrics

Here’s a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: corners, cards, goals scored, and goals conceded.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Corners

Derry City

23

last 5 matches

CSKA Sofia

23

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams were awarded the same number of corners in the last 5 matches.

Derry City and CSKA Sofia corners count, last 5 matches

▲

CSKA Sofia

5

Waterford

5

Drogheda United

7

Shamrock Rovers

2

Galway United

4

6

Derry City

5

Ludogorets

2

Levski Sofia

8

CSKA 1948 Sofia

2

CSKA 1948 Sofia

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Key metrics

Cards

Derry City

10

last 5 matches

CSKA Sofia

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

CSKA Sofia received +10% more cards than Derry City in the last 5 matches.

Derry City and CSKA Sofia cards count, last 5 matches

▲

CSKA Sofia

1

Waterford

2

Drogheda United

1

Shamrock Rovers

5

Galway United

1

0

Derry City

1

Ludogorets

3

Levski Sofia

1

CSKA 1948 Sofia

6

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Derry City

8

last 5 matches

CSKA Sofia

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Derry City scored +60% more goals than CSKA Sofia in the last 5 matches.

Derry City and CSKA Sofia goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

CSKA Sofia

2

Waterford

2

Drogheda United

2

Shamrock Rovers

1

Galway United

1

3

Derry City

0

Ludogorets

0

Levski Sofia

1

CSKA 1948 Sofia

1

CSKA 1948 Sofia

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Derry City

10

last 5 matches

CSKA Sofia

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Derry City conceded +67% more goals than CSKA Sofia in the last 5 matches.

Derry City and CSKA Sofia goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

CSKA Sofia

3

Waterford

4

Drogheda United

0

Shamrock Rovers

1

Galway United

2

2

Derry City

1

Ludogorets

2

Levski Sofia

1

CSKA 1948 Sofia

0

CSKA 1948 Sofia

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