England vs Spain Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 26/09

The encounter between England and Spain is set to kick off at 19:45 on Saturday, 26/09, at Wembley Stadium.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half England Win

Why we predict England to win the first half

Our betting tip is England to win the first half.

We expect England to start strongly, using home advantage to control the early stages. Their attacking intent could see them take a lead into the break.

Key Betting Insights

England

• Scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 out of England's last 5 matches

Spain

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Won 5 of their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes

1st Half England Win: 9/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	15/8	2/1	6/4	5/6	8/11
	7/4	5/2	8/5	10/11	1/1
	7/4	9/4	6/4	5/6	10/11

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England Preview

England is yet to feature in the UEFA Nations League, so this fixture marks their first outing in the competition.

Looking at England's performance across all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 20

• Wins: 16

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 47 (Avg. 2.35)

• Goals Conceded: 14 (Avg. 0.7)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

England

Goals Scored: 47

Goals Conceded: 14

Average Goals Scored: 2.35

Average Goals Conceded: 0.7

Wins: 16

Goal Difference: 33

Date	Game	Result
18/07	France 4 - 6 England	W
15/07	England 1 - 2 Argentina	L
11/07	Norway 1 - 2 England	W
06/07	Mexico 2 - 3 England	W
01/07	England 2 - 1 Congo DR	W

England to win the match: 7/4

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Spain Preview

On the other hand, Spain is yet to play a match in the UEFA Nations League, making this their first appearance in the competition.

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 18

• Wins: 14

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 42 (Avg. 2.33)

• Goals Conceded: 5 (Avg. 0.28)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Spain

Goals Scored: 42

Goals Conceded: 5

Average Goals Scored: 2.33

Average Goals Conceded: 0.28

Wins: 14

Goal Difference: 37

Date	Game	Result
19/07	Spain 1 - 0 Argentina	W
14/07	France 0 - 2 Spain	W
10/07	Spain 2 - 1 Belgium	W
06/07	Portugal 0 - 1 Spain	W
02/07	Spain 3 - 0 Austria	W

Spain to win the match: 6/4

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Statistical Insights for England vs Spain

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

England

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	2.4
Home	L W D W W	2
Away	W W W W W	3

Spain

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	3
Home	W W W W D	2.6
Away	W W W W W	3

Home Win

7/4

36.36%

Draw

5/2

28.74%

Favourite

Away Win

6/4

40%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

England

14

last 5 matches

Spain

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

England scored +56% more goals than Spain in the last 5 matches.

England and Spain goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

France

6

Argentina

1

Norway

2

Mexico

3

Congo DR

2

1

Argentina

2

France

2

Belgium

1

Portugal

3

Austria

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

England

10

last 5 matches

Spain

1

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

England conceded +900% more goals than Spain in the last 5 matches.

England and Spain goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

France

4

Argentina

2

Norway

1

Mexico

2

Congo DR

1

0

Argentina

0

France

1

Belgium

0

Portugal

0

Austria

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Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.