Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction & Stats | International Friendlies | 06/06
The encounter between Ethiopia and Malawi is set to kick off at 01:00 on Saturday, 06/06.
This International Friendlies fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Malawi Win
Why we predict Malawi to win the match
Our prediction is Malawi to win the match.
Malawi have the quality and momentum to secure a win on the road. With their recent performances and attacking confidence, they’re well-positioned to claim victory.
Key Betting Insights
Ethiopia
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of team.Ethiopia's last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 4 consecutive matches
Malawi
Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of team.Malawi's last 5 matches
Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 2 of their last 5 matches
Malawi Win: 11/5
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Ethiopia Preview
Ethiopia have not played a International Friendlies match yet this season, so there is no International Friendlies record to draw on ahead of this fixture.
Across all competitions this season, Ethiopia has played 10 matches, scoring 9 goals (0.9 per match) and conceding 14 (1.4 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Ethiopia
Goals Scored:9
Goals Conceded:14
Average Goals Scored:0.9
Average Goals Conceded:1.4
Wins:2
Goal Difference:-5
Date
Game
Result
06/06
Ethiopia
1 - 0
Malawi
W
31/03
Ethiopia
1 - 0
São Tomé and Príncipe
W
27/03
São Tomé and Príncipe
0 - 3
Ethiopia
W
12/10
Burkina Faso
3 - 1
Ethiopia
L
08/10
Ethiopia
1 - 0
Guinea-Bissau
W
Ethiopia to win the match: 6/4
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Malawi Preview
Across 2 International Friendlies matches, Malawi has posted 0 victories, 1 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 0.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 0 (0 per match) and conceded 1 (0.5 per match).
During the whole 2026 campaign, Malawi has earned 4 wins from 12 matches across all competitions, scoring 11 goals (0.92 per match) and conceding 11 (0.92 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Malawi
Goals Scored:11
Goals Conceded:11
Average Goals Scored:0.92
Average Goals Conceded:0.92
Wins:4
Goal Difference:0
Date
Game
Result
06/06
Ethiopia
1 - 0
Malawi
L
31/03
Botswana
1 - 0
Malawi
L
28/03
Zambia
0 - 0
Malawi
D
18/11
Lesotho
0 - 1
Malawi
W
13/10
São Tomé and Príncipe
1 - 0
Malawi
L
Malawi to win the match: 12/5
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Statistical Insights for Ethiopia vs Malawi
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Ethiopia vs Malawi fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Ethiopia
International - International Friendlies
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
L
W
L
1.8
Home
W
W
W
L
W
2.4
Away
W
L
L
L
D
0.8
Malawi
International - International Friendlies
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
L
D
W
L
0.8
Home
W
D
D
L
W
1.6
Away
L
D
W
L
W
1.4
Favourite
Home Win
6/4
39.84%
Draw
7/4
37.04%
Away Win
11/5
31.25%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: corners, cards, goals scored, and goals conceded.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Corners
Ethiopia
9
last 5 matches
Malawi
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams were awarded the same number of corners in the last 5 matches.
Ethiopia and Malawi corners count, last 5 matches
São Tomé and Príncipe
4
São Tomé and Príncipe
-1
Burkina Faso
1
Guinea-Bissau
3
Sierra Leone
2
-1
Ethiopia
-1
Botswana
-1
Zambia
4
Lesotho
8
São Tomé and Príncipe
Key metrics
Cards
Ethiopia
1
last 5 matches
Malawi
-3
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Ethiopia received +-133% more cards than Malawi in the last 5 matches.
Ethiopia and Malawi cards count, last 5 matches
São Tomé and Príncipe
-1
São Tomé and Príncipe
-1
Burkina Faso
2
Guinea-Bissau
1
Sierra Leone
0
-1
Ethiopia
-1
Botswana
-1
Zambia
0
Lesotho
0
São Tomé and Príncipe
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Ethiopia
6
last 5 matches
Malawi
1
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Ethiopia scored +500% more goals than Malawi in the last 5 matches.
Ethiopia and Malawi goals scored count, last 5 matches
São Tomé and Príncipe
1
São Tomé and Príncipe
3
Burkina Faso
1
Guinea-Bissau
1
Sierra Leone
0
0
Ethiopia
0
Botswana
0
Zambia
1
Lesotho
0
São Tomé and Príncipe
Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Ethiopia
5
last 5 matches
Malawi
3
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Ethiopia conceded +67% more goals than Malawi in the last 5 matches.
Ethiopia and Malawi goals conceded count, last 5 matches
São Tomé and Príncipe
0
São Tomé and Príncipe
0
Burkina Faso
3
Guinea-Bissau
0
Sierra Leone
2
1
Ethiopia
1
Botswana
0
Zambia
0
Lesotho
1
São Tomé and Príncipe
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