Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction & Stats | International Friendlies | 09/06

The encounter between Ethiopia and Malawi is set to kick off at 01:00 on Tuesday, 09/06.

This International Friendlies fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Ethiopia Win

Why we predict Ethiopia to win the match

Our prediction is Ethiopia to win the match.

We anticipate Ethiopia to make the most of their home advantage, controlling key phases of play and ultimately taking all three points.

Key Betting Insights

Ethiopia

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Ethiopia's last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Malawi

• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Malawi's last 5 matches
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
• Lost 3 of their last 5 matches

Ethiopia Win: 5/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	5/4	11/5	7/4	11/8	8/11
	7/5	11/5	11/5	7/5	8/13
	6/4	9/4	9/5	7/5	8/13
	7/5	9/4	2/1	5/4	8/15

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Ethiopia Preview

Ethiopia has completed 1 fixtures in the International Friendlies, securing 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 3 points per game. In the International Friendlies, the team has scored 1 goals (1 per game) and conceded 0 (0 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Ethiopia has played 11 matches, scoring 10 goals (0.91 per match) and conceding 14 (1.27 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Ethiopia

Goals Scored: 10

Goals Conceded: 14

Average Goals Scored: 0.91

Average Goals Conceded: 1.27

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: -4

Date	Game	Result
06/06	Ethiopia 1 - 0 Malawi	W
31/03	Ethiopia 1 - 0 São Tomé and Príncipe	W
27/03	São Tomé and Príncipe 0 - 3 Ethiopia	W
12/10	Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Ethiopia	L
08/10	Ethiopia 1 - 0 Guinea-Bissau	W

Ethiopia to win the match: 5/4

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Malawi Preview

Across 3 International Friendlies matches, Malawi has posted 0 victories, 1 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 0.33 points per fixture. In those games they scored 0 (0 per match) and conceded 2 (0.67 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Malawi has earned 4 wins from 13 matches across all competitions, scoring 11 goals (0.85 per match) and conceding 12 (0.92 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Malawi

Goals Scored: 11

Goals Conceded: 12

Average Goals Scored: 0.85

Average Goals Conceded: 0.92

Wins: 4

Goal Difference: -1

Date	Game	Result
06/06	Ethiopia 1 - 0 Malawi	L
31/03	Botswana 1 - 0 Malawi	L
28/03	Zambia 0 - 0 Malawi	D
18/11	Lesotho 0 - 1 Malawi	W
13/10	São Tomé and Príncipe 1 - 0 Malawi	L

Malawi to win the match: 11/5

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Statistical Insights for Ethiopia vs Malawi

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Ethiopia vs Malawi fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Ethiopia

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W L W	2.4
Home	W W W W L	2.4
Away	W L L L D	0.8

Malawi

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L D W L	0.8
Home	W D D L W	1.6
Away	L L D W L	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

7/5

40.98%

Draw

9/4

30.77%

Away Win

7/4

36.63%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: corners, cards, goals scored, and goals conceded.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Corners

Ethiopia

6

last 5 matches

Malawi

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Malawi received +50% more corners than Ethiopia in the last 5 matches.

Ethiopia and Malawi corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Malawi

-1

São Tomé and Príncipe

4

São Tomé and Príncipe

-1

Burkina Faso

1

Guinea-Bissau

3

-1

Ethiopia

-1

Botswana

-1

Zambia

4

Lesotho

8

São Tomé and Príncipe

Key metrics

Cards

Ethiopia

0

last 5 matches

Malawi

-3

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Ethiopia received 100% more cards than Malawi in the last 5 matches.

Ethiopia and Malawi cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Malawi

-1

São Tomé and Príncipe

-1

São Tomé and Príncipe

-1

Burkina Faso

2

Guinea-Bissau

1

-1

Ethiopia

-1

Botswana

-1

Zambia

0

Lesotho

0

São Tomé and Príncipe

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Ethiopia

7

last 5 matches

Malawi

1

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Ethiopia scored +600% more goals than Malawi in the last 5 matches.

Ethiopia and Malawi goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Malawi

1

São Tomé and Príncipe

1

São Tomé and Príncipe

3

Burkina Faso

1

Guinea-Bissau

1

0

Ethiopia

0

Botswana

0

Zambia

1

Lesotho

0

São Tomé and Príncipe

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Ethiopia

3

last 5 matches

Malawi

3

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.

Ethiopia and Malawi goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Malawi

0

São Tomé and Príncipe

0

São Tomé and Príncipe

0

Burkina Faso

3

Guinea-Bissau

0

1

Ethiopia

1

Botswana

0

Zambia

0

Lesotho

1

São Tomé and Príncipe

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