France vs Sweden Prediction | 2026 World Cup | 30/06

France take on Sweden at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off at 22:00 on Tuesday, 30/06.

Football's biggest stage raises the stakes, and there is plenty to know about how these two sides approach the contest.

Below you will find our full breakdown of the match, along with the bet our team rates as the best pick for this match.

Our Recommended Bet

The team at Betting.co.uk has crunched the numbers, weighing each side's recent results, scoring patterns, and defensive record to project how this one is likely to play out.

Our model factors in past meetings, in-tournament trends, and how clinical each team has been at both ends of the pitch.

The recommended bet and the reasoning behind it are below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Draw

Why we predict the first half to end in a draw

We expect a draw in the first half for the France vs Sweden fixture.

Both sides are likely to approach the opening period cautiously, focusing on structure and possession. A balanced first half with limited chances could result in a level score at halftime.

Key Betting Insights

France

• Scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of France's last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Sweden

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 out of Sweden's last 5 matches

1st Half Draw: 15/8

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.75

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	1/4	5/1	10/1	4/9	7/4
	2/7	9/2	8/1	4/7	9/5
	4/11	5/1	10/1	4/11	7/4
	1/4	5/1	10/1	2/5	15/8

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France Preview

France have built up this record at the 2026 World Cup so far:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 10 (Avg. 3.33)

• Goals Conceded: 2 (Avg. 0.67)

Widening the lens to every competition this season, France's figures look like this:

• Matches played: 13

• Wins: 11

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 35 (Avg. 2.69)

• Goals Conceded: 11 (Avg. 0.85)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

France

Goals Scored: 35

Goals Conceded: 11

Average Goals Scored: 2.69

Average Goals Conceded: 0.85

Wins: 11

Goal Difference: 24

Date	Game	Result
30/06	France 3 - 0 Sweden	W
26/06	Norway 1 - 4 France	W
22/06	France 3 - 0 Iraq	W
16/06	France 3 - 1 Senegal	W
08/06	France 3 - 1 Northern Ireland	W

France to win the match: 1/4

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Sweden Preview

Sweden, meanwhile, head into this tie with the following 2026 World Cup record:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 7 (Avg. 2.33)

• Goals Conceded: 7 (Avg. 2.33)

Looking across all competitions this season, Sweden's numbers come out as follows:

• Matches played: 13

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 6

• Goals Scored: 20 (Avg. 1.54)

• Goals Conceded: 27 (Avg. 2.08)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sweden

Goals Scored: 20

Goals Conceded: 27

Average Goals Scored: 1.54

Average Goals Conceded: 2.08

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: -7

Date	Game	Result
30/06	France 3 - 0 Sweden	L
25/06	Japan 1 - 1 Sweden	D
20/06	Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden	L
15/06	Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia	W
04/06	Sweden 2 - 2 Greece	D

Sweden to win the match: 10/1

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £110.00

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Statistical Insights for France vs Sweden

The table below stacks each side's core numbers up against the benchmark.

Scoring output, both-teams-to-score frequency and the results of their last five matches all feed in, giving you a clearer read on where the value might sit in France vs Sweden.

Key metrics

Team Form

France

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W W L	2.4
Home	W W W L W	2.4
Away	W W W W D	2.6

Sweden

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L D L W D	1
Home	W D W D L	1.6
Away	D L L W L	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

1/4

78.74%

Draw

9/2

18.18%

Away Win

10/1

9.09%

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Key Metrics

These are the areas that tend to decide betting value: corners, cards, goals scored and goals conceded.

Reading them side by side highlights each team's habits and points you toward the markets with the strongest patterns.

Key metrics

Corners

France

28

last 5 matches

Sweden

19

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

France received +47% more corners than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

France and Sweden corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Norway

5

Iraq

4

Senegal

6

Northern Ireland

5

Ivory Coast

8

1

France

8

Japan

5

Netherlands

4

Tunisia

1

Greece

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Key metrics

Cards

France

1

last 5 matches

Sweden

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sweden received +400% more cards than France in the last 5 matches.

France and Sweden cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Norway

1

Iraq

0

Senegal

0

Northern Ireland

0

Ivory Coast

0

0

France

2

Japan

3

Netherlands

0

Tunisia

0

Greece

Key metrics

Goals Scored

France

14

last 5 matches

Sweden

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

France scored +56% more goals than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

France and Sweden goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Norway

4

Iraq

3

Senegal

3

Northern Ireland

3

Ivory Coast

1

0

France

1

Japan

1

Netherlands

5

Tunisia

2

Greece

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

France

5

last 5 matches

Sweden

12

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sweden conceded +140% more goals than France in the last 5 matches.

France and Sweden goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Norway

1

Iraq

0

Senegal

1

Northern Ireland

1

Ivory Coast

2

3

France

1

Japan

5

Netherlands

1

Tunisia

2

Greece

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