Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 Prediction & Stats | Bundesliga | 06/09

The encounter between Hamburger SV and Mainz 05 is set to kick off at 14:30 on Sunday, 06/09.

This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 1.5 Goals

Why we predict under 1.5 Goals

Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 fixture.

This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.

Key Betting Insights

Hamburger SV

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• 7 matches against Mainz 05 ended in a draw
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Mainz 05

• Scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches
• 7 matches against Hamburger SV ended in a draw
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches

Under 1.5 Goals: 7/2

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	15/8	5/2	11/8	4/6	11/10
	7/4	5/2	7/5	4/6	6/5
	9/5	5/2	11/8	4/6	11/10
	7/4	12/5	7/5	4/5	5/4

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Hamburger SV Preview

Hamburger SV has completed 1 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 0 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 0 goals (0 per game) and conceded 2 (2 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Hamburger SV has played 39 matches, scoring 47 goals (1.21 per match) and conceding 58 (1.49 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Hamburger SV

Goals Scored: 47

Goals Conceded: 58

Average Goals Scored: 1.21

Average Goals Conceded: 1.49

Wins: 12

Goal Difference: -11

Date	Game	Result
29/08	Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV	L
24/08	Verl 0 - 3 Hamburger SV	W
16/05	Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 1 Hamburger SV	D
10/05	Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Freiburg	W
02/05	Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 2 Hamburger SV	W

Hamburger SV to win the match: 7/4

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Mainz 05 Preview

Across 1 Bundesliga matches, Mainz 05 has posted 0 victories, 1 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 1 points per fixture. In those games they scored 0 (0 per match) and conceded 0 (0 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Mainz 05 has earned 19 wins from 50 matches across all competitions, scoring 70 goals (1.4 per match) and conceding 65 (1.3 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Mainz 05

Goals Scored: 70

Goals Conceded: 65

Average Goals Scored: 1.4

Average Goals Conceded: 1.3

Wins: 19

Goal Difference: 5

Date	Game	Result
29/08	Mainz 05 0 - 0 Paderborn	D
23/08	Krieschow 0 - 9 Mainz 05	W
16/05	Heidenheim 0 - 2 Mainz 05	W
10/05	Mainz 05 1 - 3 Union Berlin	L
03/05	St. Pauli 1 - 2 Mainz 05	W

Mainz 05 to win the match: 7/5

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Statistical Insights for Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Hamburger SV

Germany - Bundesliga

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W D W W	2
Home	W L D D L	1
Away	L W D W L	1.4

Mainz 05

Germany - Bundesliga

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W W L W	2
Home	D L L L W	0.8
Away	W W W D L	2

Home Win

7/4

36.36%

Draw

5/2

28.57%

Favourite

Away Win

11/8

42.55%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Hamburger SV

9

last 5 matches

Mainz 05

14

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mainz 05 scored +56% more goals than Hamburger SV in the last 5 matches.

Hamburger SV and Mainz 05 goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Borussia Dortmund

0

Verl

3

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Freiburg

3

Eintracht Frankfurt

2

0

Paderborn

9

Krieschow

2

Heidenheim

1

Union Berlin

2

St. Pauli

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Hamburger SV

6

last 5 matches

Mainz 05

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Hamburger SV conceded +50% more goals than Mainz 05 in the last 5 matches.

Hamburger SV and Mainz 05 goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Borussia Dortmund

2

Verl

0

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Freiburg

2

Eintracht Frankfurt

1

0

Paderborn

0

Krieschow

0

Heidenheim

3

Union Berlin

1

St. Pauli

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Key metrics

Corners

Hamburger SV

11

last 5 matches

Mainz 05

37

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mainz 05 received +236% more corners than Hamburger SV in the last 5 matches.

Hamburger SV and Mainz 05 corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Borussia Dortmund

1

Verl

1

Bayer Leverkusen

3

Freiburg

2

Eintracht Frankfurt

4

11

Paderborn

9

Krieschow

3

Heidenheim

7

Union Berlin

7

St. Pauli

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Key metrics

Cards

Hamburger SV

7

last 5 matches

Mainz 05

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Hamburger SV received +17% more cards than Mainz 05 in the last 5 matches.

Hamburger SV and Mainz 05 cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Borussia Dortmund

1

Verl

1

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Freiburg

2

Eintracht Frankfurt

1

1

Paderborn

1

Krieschow

1

Heidenheim

2

Union Berlin

1

St. Pauli

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.