Hull City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 05/09
The encounter between Hull City and Aston Villa is set to kick off at 17:30 on Saturday, 05/09.
This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Under 1.5 Goals
Why we predict under 1.5 Goals
Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Hull City vs Aston Villa fixture.
This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.
Key Betting Insights
Hull City
Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
Aston Villa
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
4 matches against Hull City ended in a draw
Under 1.5 Goals: 13/5
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Hull City Preview
Hull City has completed 2 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 3 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 3 goals (1.5 per game) and conceded 0 (0 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Hull City has played 55 matches, scoring 80 goals (1.45 per match) and conceding 74 (1.35 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Hull City
Goals Scored:80
Goals Conceded:74
Average Goals Scored:1.45
Average Goals Conceded:1.35
Wins:25
Goal Difference:6
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Coventry City
0 - 1
Hull City
W
25/08
Stoke City
1 - 1
Hull City
D
22/08
Hull City
2 - 0
Manchester United
W
23/05
Hull City
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
W
11/05
Millwall
0 - 2
Hull City
W
Hull City to win the match: 3/1
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Aston Villa Preview
Across 2 Premier League matches, Aston Villa has posted 0 victories, 0 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 0 points per fixture. In those games they scored 0 (0 per match) and conceded 5 (2.5 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Aston Villa has earned 33 wins from 59 matches across all competitions, scoring 92 goals (1.56 per match) and conceding 69 (1.17 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Aston Villa
Goals Scored:92
Goals Conceded:69
Average Goals Scored:1.56
Average Goals Conceded:1.17
Wins:33
Goal Difference:23
Date
Game
Result
31/08
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Arsenal
L
23/08
Brighton
4 - 0
Aston Villa
L
12/08
PSG
2 - 1
Aston Villa
L
24/05
Manchester City
1 - 2
Aston Villa
W
20/05
Freiburg
0 - 3
Aston Villa
W
Aston Villa to win the match: 10/11
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Statistical Insights for Hull City vs Aston Villa
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Hull City vs Aston Villa fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Hull City
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
W
W
W
2.6
Home
W
W
D
W
D
2.2
Away
W
D
W
L
D
1.6
Aston Villa
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
L
L
W
W
1.2
Home
L
W
W
L
W
1.8
Away
L
L
W
W
D
1.4
Home Win
3/1
25.64%
Draw
5/2
28.99%
Favourite
Away Win
10/11
52.63%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Hull City
7
last 5 matches
Aston Villa
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Hull City scored +17% more goals than Aston Villa in the last 5 matches.
Hull City and Aston Villa goals scored count, last 5 matches
Coventry City
1
Stoke City
1
Manchester United
2
Middlesbrough
1
Millwall
2
0
Arsenal
0
Brighton
1
PSG
2
Manchester City
3
Freiburg
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Hull City
1
last 5 matches
Aston Villa
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Aston Villa conceded +700% more goals than Hull City in the last 5 matches.
Hull City and Aston Villa goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Coventry City
0
Stoke City
1
Manchester United
0
Middlesbrough
0
Millwall
0
1
Arsenal
4
Brighton
2
PSG
1
Manchester City
0
Freiburg
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Key metrics
Corners
Hull City
16
last 5 matches
Aston Villa
18
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Aston Villa received +13% more corners than Hull City in the last 5 matches.
Hull City and Aston Villa corners count, last 5 matches
Coventry City
2
Stoke City
4
Manchester United
1
Middlesbrough
1
Millwall
8
2
Arsenal
2
Brighton
2
PSG
4
Manchester City
8
Freiburg
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Key metrics
Cards
Hull City
12
last 5 matches
Aston Villa
12
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.
Hull City and Aston Villa cards count, last 5 matches
Coventry City
4
Stoke City
1
Manchester United
2
Middlesbrough
1
Millwall
4
3
Arsenal
3
Brighton
3
PSG
0
Manchester City
3
Freiburg
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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