Iceland vs Estonia Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 26/09

The encounter between Iceland and Estonia is set to kick off at 17:00 on Saturday, 26/09, at Laugardalsvöllur.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals

Why we predict under 0.5 Goals in the first half

Our tip is First Half – Under 0.5 Goals for the Iceland vs Estonia fixture.

We foresee a cautious opening, with both teams feeling each other out and avoiding early risks. A goalless first half is a realistic outcome here.

Key Betting Insights

Iceland

• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Iceland's last 5 matches
• Scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches

Estonia

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Estonia's last 5 matches

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals: 11/5

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	1/4	4/1	8/1	4/6	11/10
	3/10	4/1	9/1	4/6	1/1
	1/3	5/4	9/1	4/6	11/10

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Iceland Preview

Iceland is yet to feature in the UEFA Nations League, so this fixture marks their first outing in the competition.

Looking at Iceland's performance across all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 11

• Wins: 2

• Draws: 3

• Losses: 6

• Goals Scored: 16 (Avg. 1.45)

• Goals Conceded: 22 (Avg. 2)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Iceland

Goals Scored: 16

Goals Conceded: 22

Average Goals Scored: 1.45

Average Goals Conceded: 2

Wins: 2

Goal Difference: -6

Date	Game	Result
10/06	Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland	L
31/05	Japan 1 - 0 Iceland	L
31/03	Haiti 1 - 1 Iceland	D
28/03	Canada 2 - 2 Iceland	D
26/02	Mexico 4 - 0 Iceland	L

Iceland to win the match: 1/4

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Estonia Preview

On the other hand, Estonia is yet to play a match in the UEFA Nations League, making this their first appearance in the competition.

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 10

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 7

• Goals Scored: 9 (Avg. 0.9)

• Goals Conceded: 24 (Avg. 2.4)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Estonia

Goals Scored: 9

Goals Conceded: 24

Average Goals Scored: 0.9

Average Goals Conceded: 2.4

Wins: 1

Goal Difference: -15

Date	Game	Result
30/03	Rwanda 2 - 0 Estonia	L
27/03	Kenya 1 - 1 Estonia	D
18/11	Cyprus 2 - 4 Estonia	W
13/11	Norway 4 - 1 Estonia	L
14/10	Estonia 1 - 1 Moldova	D

Estonia to win the match: 9/1

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Statistical Insights for Iceland vs Estonia

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Iceland

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L D D L	0.4
Home	D L W L L	0.8
Away	L L D D L	0.4

Estonia

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L D W L D	1
Home	D L D L L	0.4
Away	L D W L L	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

1/4

78.74%

Draw

5/4

43.48%

Away Win

9/1

10.36%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Iceland

3

last 5 matches

Estonia

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Estonia scored +133% more goals than Iceland in the last 5 matches.

Iceland and Estonia goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Argentina

0

Japan

0

Haiti

1

Canada

2

Mexico

0

0

Rwanda

1

Kenya

4

Cyprus

1

Norway

1

Moldova

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Iceland

11

last 5 matches

Estonia

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Iceland conceded +10% more goals than Estonia in the last 5 matches.

Iceland and Estonia goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Argentina

3

Japan

1

Haiti

1

Canada

2

Mexico

4

2

Rwanda

1

Kenya

2

Cyprus

4

Norway

1

Moldova

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Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.