Leeds vs Newcastle United Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 14/09
The encounter between Leeds and Newcastle United is set to kick off at 20:00 on Monday, 14/09.
This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Corners Leeds Win
Why we predict more corners for Leeds
We predict that Leeds will gain more corners than Newcastle United. We expect Leeds to dominate attacking play and spend more time in the opposition half, resulting in a higher corner count. Their offensive pressure should help them outnumber Newcastle United on corners.
Key Betting Insights
Leeds
Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
5 matches against Newcastle ended in a draw
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
Newcastle United
Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
5 matches against Leeds United ended in a draw
Corners Leeds Win: 1/1
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Leeds Preview
Leeds has completed 3 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 1.67 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 3 goals (1 per game) and conceded 2 (0.67 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Leeds has played 49 matches, scoring 67 goals (1.37 per match) and conceding 70 (1.43 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Leeds
Goals Scored:67
Goals Conceded:70
Average Goals Scored:1.37
Average Goals Conceded:1.43
Wins:15
Goal Difference:-3
Date
Game
Result
14/09
Leeds
4 - 1
Newcastle United
W
09/09
Chelsea
6 - 3
Leeds
L
05/09
Brighton
1 - 1
Leeds
D
30/08
Leeds
1 - 1
Brentford
D
25/08
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Leeds
W
Leeds to win the match: 11/8
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Newcastle United Preview
Across 3 Premier League matches, Newcastle United has posted 1 victories, 2 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 1.67 points per fixture. In those games they scored 6 (2 per match) and conceded 4 (1.33 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Newcastle United has earned 27 wins from 63 matches across all competitions, scoring 108 goals (1.71 per match) and conceding 93 (1.48 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Newcastle United
Goals Scored:108
Goals Conceded:93
Average Goals Scored:1.71
Average Goals Conceded:1.48
Wins:27
Goal Difference:15
Date
Game
Result
14/09
Leeds
4 - 1
Newcastle United
L
08/09
Millwall
0 - 1
Newcastle United
W
05/09
Newcastle United
2 - 2
Bournemouth
D
29/08
Tottenham
0 - 2
Newcastle United
W
26/08
Newcastle United
3 - 2
West Bromwich
W
Newcastle United to win the match: 2/1
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Statistical Insights for Leeds vs Newcastle United
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Leeds vs Newcastle United fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Leeds
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
D
D
W
W
1.6
Home
D
W
W
W
D
2.2
Away
L
D
W
W
L
1.4
Newcastle United
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
D
W
W
2
Home
D
W
D
W
W
2.2
Away
W
W
L
D
L
1.4
Favourite
Home Win
11/8
42.55%
Draw
5/2
28.57%
Away Win
2/1
32.89%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Leeds
8
last 5 matches
Newcastle United
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Newcastle United scored +13% more goals than Leeds in the last 5 matches.
Leeds and Newcastle United goals scored count, last 5 matches
Chelsea
3
Brighton
1
Brentford
1
Nottingham Forest
2
Nottingham Forest
1
1
Leeds
1
Millwall
2
Bournemouth
2
Tottenham
3
West Bromwich
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Leeds
8
last 5 matches
Newcastle United
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams conceded the same number of goals in the last 5 matches.
Leeds and Newcastle United goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Chelsea
6
Brighton
1
Brentford
1
Nottingham Forest
0
Nottingham Forest
0
4
Leeds
0
Millwall
2
Bournemouth
0
Tottenham
2
West Bromwich
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Key metrics
Corners
Leeds
20
last 5 matches
Newcastle United
37
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Newcastle United received +85% more corners than Leeds in the last 5 matches.
Leeds and Newcastle United corners count, last 5 matches
Chelsea
5
Brighton
6
Brentford
5
Nottingham Forest
2
Nottingham Forest
2
5
Leeds
15
Millwall
4
Bournemouth
7
Tottenham
6
West Bromwich
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Key metrics
Cards
Leeds
7
last 5 matches
Newcastle United
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Newcastle United received +43% more cards than Leeds in the last 5 matches.
Leeds and Newcastle United cards count, last 5 matches
Chelsea
0
Brighton
3
Brentford
0
Nottingham Forest
3
Nottingham Forest
1
2
Leeds
1
Millwall
2
Bournemouth
2
Tottenham
3
West Bromwich
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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