Lesotho vs Kenya Prediction & Stats | International Friendlies | 04/06

The encounter between Lesotho and Kenya is set to kick off at 14:00 on Thursday, 04/06.

This International Friendlies fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Lesotho Win

Why we predict Lesotho to win the match

Our prediction is Lesotho to win the match.

We anticipate Lesotho to make the most of their home advantage, controlling key phases of play and ultimately taking all three points.

Key Betting Insights

Lesotho

• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of team.Lesotho's last 5 matches
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches

Kenya

• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of team.Kenya's last 5 matches
• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Lesotho Win: 7/2

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	10/3	9/4	8/11	7/5	8/15
	4/1	12/5	8/11	6/4	4/9
	7/2	9/4	8/11	7/5	8/15
	4/1	13/5	8/11	7/5	1/2

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Lesotho Preview

Lesotho have not played a International Friendlies match yet this season, so there is no International Friendlies record to draw on ahead of this fixture.

Across all competitions this season, Lesotho has played 10 matches, scoring 6 goals (0.6 per match) and conceding 14 (1.4 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Lesotho

Goals Scored: 6

Goals Conceded: 14

Average Goals Scored: 0.6

Average Goals Conceded: 1.4

Wins: 2

Goal Difference: -8

Date	Game	Result
04/06	Lesotho 1 - 1 Kenya	D
29/03	Lesotho 2 - 1 Seychelles	W
25/03	Seychelles 0 - 0 Lesotho	D
18/11	Lesotho 0 - 1 Malawi	L
13/10	Lesotho 1 - 0 Zimbabwe	W

Lesotho to win the match: 7/2

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Kenya Preview

Across 2 International Friendlies matches, Kenya has posted 1 victories, 1 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 2 points per fixture. In those games they scored 4 (2 per match) and conceded 1 (0.5 per match).

During the whole 2026 campaign, Kenya has earned 4 wins from 12 matches across all competitions, scoring 22 goals (1.83 per match) and conceding 15 (1.25 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Kenya

Goals Scored: 22

Goals Conceded: 15

Average Goals Scored: 1.83

Average Goals Conceded: 1.25

Wins: 4

Goal Difference: 7

Date	Game	Result
04/06	Lesotho 1 - 1 Kenya	D
30/03	Grenada 0 - 3 Kenya	W
27/03	Kenya 1 - 1 Estonia	D
18/11	Kenya 0 - 8 Senegal	L
14/11	Kenya 0 - 1 Equatorial Guinea	L

Kenya to win the match: 8/11

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Statistical Insights for Lesotho vs Kenya

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Lesotho vs Kenya fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Lesotho

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D L W L	1.4
Home	W L W L L	1.2
Away	D L D L W	1

Kenya

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W D L L	1
Home	D L L W L	0.8
Away	W L W W W	2.4

Home Win

10/3

23.09%

Draw

9/4

30.77%

Favourite

Away Win

8/11

57.8%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: corners, cards, goals scored, and goals conceded.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Corners

Lesotho

16

last 5 matches

Kenya

14

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lesotho received +14% more corners than Kenya in the last 5 matches.

Lesotho and Kenya corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Seychelles

4

Seychelles

-1

Malawi

5

Zimbabwe

6

Nigeria

2

7

Lesotho

4

Grenada

5

Estonia

-1

Senegal

-1

Equatorial Guinea

Key metrics

Cards

Lesotho

0

last 5 matches

Kenya

2

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Kenya received 100% more cards than Lesotho in the last 5 matches.

Lesotho and Kenya cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Seychelles

-1

Seychelles

-1

Malawi

0

Zimbabwe

2

Nigeria

0

2

Lesotho

-1

Grenada

1

Estonia

1

Senegal

-1

Equatorial Guinea

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Lesotho

4

last 5 matches

Kenya

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Kenya scored +25% more goals than Lesotho in the last 5 matches.

Lesotho and Kenya goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Seychelles

2

Seychelles

0

Malawi

0

Zimbabwe

1

Nigeria

1

1

Lesotho

3

Grenada

1

Estonia

0

Senegal

0

Equatorial Guinea

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Lesotho

4

last 5 matches

Kenya

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Kenya conceded +175% more goals than Lesotho in the last 5 matches.

Lesotho and Kenya goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Seychelles

1

Seychelles

0

Malawi

1

Zimbabwe

0

Nigeria

2

1

Lesotho

0

Grenada

1

Estonia

8

Senegal

1

Equatorial Guinea