Mexico vs South Africa Prediction | 2026 World Cup | 11/06

Mexico take on South Africa at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off at 20:00 on Thursday, 11/06.

Football's biggest stage raises the stakes, and there is plenty to know about how these two sides approach the contest.

Below you will find our full breakdown of the match, along with the bet our team rates as the best pick for this match.

Our Recommended Bet

The team at Betting.co.uk has crunched the numbers, weighing each side's recent results, scoring patterns, and defensive record to project how this one is likely to play out.

Our model factors in past meetings, in-tournament trends, and how clinical each team has been at both ends of the pitch.

The recommended bet and the reasoning behind it are below.

Recommended Bet

Mexico Win To Nil

Why we predict Mexico to win to nil

Our betting pick is Mexico Win to Nil for the Mexico vs South Africa contest.

We anticipate Mexico to control the game and secure victory while maintaining defensive solidity. Their ability to score and keep a clean sheet makes this a strong selection.

Key Betting Insights

Mexico

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Mexico's last 5 matches

South Africa

• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of South Africa's last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Mexico Win To Nil: 11/10

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	1/3	16/5	15/2	23/20	8/11
	2/5	16/5	7/1	23/20	8/11
	2/5	7/2	15/2	23/20	4/6
	2/5	7/2	15/2	11/10	8/11

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Mexico Preview

Mexico are yet to kick off their 2026 World Cup, so there is no tournament form to lean on just yet. The picture is built instead from how they arrive at the finals.

Widening the lens to every competition this season, Mexico's figures look like this:

• Matches played: 8

• Wins: 6

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 15 (Avg. 1.88)

• Goals Conceded: 2 (Avg. 0.25)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Mexico

Goals Scored: 15

Goals Conceded: 2

Average Goals Scored: 1.88

Average Goals Conceded: 0.25

Wins: 6

Goal Difference: 13

Date	Game	Result
05/06	Mexico 5 - 1 Serbia	W
31/05	Mexico 1 - 0 Australia	W
23/05	Mexico 2 - 0 Ghana	W
01/04	Mexico 1 - 1 Belgium	D
29/03	Mexico 0 - 0 Portugal	D

Mexico to win the match: 1/3

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South Africa Preview

South Africa are also waiting to begin their 2026 World Cup, leaving no tournament data to work with. The box below reflects their build-up to the finals instead.

Looking across all competitions this season, South Africa's numbers come out as follows:

• Matches played: 13

• Wins: 6

• Draws: 5

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 19 (Avg. 1.46)

• Goals Conceded: 9 (Avg. 0.69)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

South Africa

Goals Scored: 19

Goals Conceded: 9

Average Goals Scored: 1.46

Average Goals Conceded: 0.69

Wins: 6

Goal Difference: 10

Date	Game	Result
06/06	Jamaica 1 - 1 South Africa	D
29/05	South Africa 0 - 0 Nicaragua	D
31/03	South Africa 1 - 2 Panama	L
27/03	South Africa 1 - 1 Panama	D
04/01	South Africa 1 - 2 Cameroon	L

South Africa to win the match: 15/2

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Statistical Insights for Mexico vs South Africa

The table below stacks each side's core numbers up against the benchmark.

Scoring output, both-teams-to-score frequency and the results of their last five matches all feed in, giving you a clearer read on where the value might sit in Mexico vs South Africa.

Key metrics

Team Form

Mexico

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W D D	2.2
Home	W W W D D	2.2
Away	W W W L L	1.8

South Africa

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D L D L	0.6
Home	D L D L W	1
Away	D W L D W	1.6

Favourite

Home Win

2/5

71.43%

Draw

7/2

22.22%

Away Win

7/1

12.5%

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Key Metrics

These are the areas that tend to decide betting value: corners, cards, goals scored and goals conceded.

Reading them side by side highlights each team's habits and points you toward the markets with the strongest patterns.

Key metrics

Corners

Mexico

23

last 5 matches

South Africa

17

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mexico received +35% more corners than South Africa in the last 5 matches.

Mexico and South Africa corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Serbia

6

Australia

5

Ghana

9

Belgium

3

Portugal

0

-1

Jamaica

6

Nicaragua

1

Panama

5

Panama

6

Cameroon

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Key metrics

Cards

Mexico

7

last 5 matches

South Africa

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

South Africa received +14% more cards than Mexico in the last 5 matches.

Mexico and South Africa cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Serbia

2

Australia

1

Ghana

1

Belgium

2

Portugal

1

-1

Jamaica

0

Nicaragua

3

Panama

1

Panama

5

Cameroon

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Mexico

9

last 5 matches

South Africa

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Mexico scored +125% more goals than South Africa in the last 5 matches.

Mexico and South Africa goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Serbia

5

Australia

1

Ghana

2

Belgium

1

Portugal

0

1

Jamaica

0

Nicaragua

1

Panama

1

Panama

1

Cameroon

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Mexico

2

last 5 matches

South Africa

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

South Africa conceded +200% more goals than Mexico in the last 5 matches.

Mexico and South Africa goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Serbia

1

Australia

0

Ghana

0

Belgium

1

Portugal

0

1

Jamaica

0

Nicaragua

2

Panama

1

Panama

2

Cameroon

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