Milan vs Benfica Prediction | Europa League | 16/09

The encounter between Milan and Benfica is set to kick off at 20:00 on Wednesday, 16/09, at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

BTTS - No

Why we predict BTTS - No

Our recommended bet is BTTS – No for the Milan vs Benfica clash.

We expect one of the sides to keep a clean sheet, given the defensive organization and limited attacking consistency. A low-scoring affair could be on the cards here.

Key Betting Insights

Milan

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Milan's last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Benfica

• Scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches
• Won 5 of their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes

BTTS - No: 5/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	5/4	5/2	2/1	4/6	23/20
	21/20	11/4	9/4	8/15	7/5
	1/1	11/4	12/5	4/6	6/5

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Milan Preview

Milan is yet to feature in the Europa League, so this fixture marks their first outing in the competition.

Looking at Milan's performance across all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 45

• Wins: 24

• Draws: 11

• Losses: 10

• Goals Scored: 63 (Avg. 1.4)

• Goals Conceded: 40 (Avg. 0.89)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Milan

Goals Scored: 65

Goals Conceded: 42

Average Goals Scored: 1.41

Average Goals Conceded: 0.91

Wins: 24

Goal Difference: 23

Date	Game	Result
16/09	Milan 0 - 2 Benfica	L
12/09	Lazio 2 - 2 Milan	D
06/09	Juventus 1 - 1 Milan	D
28/08	Milan 2 - 0 Venezia	W
23/08	Torino 1 - 2 Milan	W

Milan to win the match: 5/4

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Benfica Preview

On the other hand, Benfica comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:

• Matches played: 6

• Wins: 4

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 19 (Avg. 3.17)

• Goals Conceded: 6 (Avg. 1)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 64

• Wins: 41

• Draws: 14

• Losses: 9

• Goals Scored: 134 (Avg. 2.09)

• Goals Conceded: 50 (Avg. 0.78)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Benfica

Goals Scored: 137

Goals Conceded: 51

Average Goals Scored: 2.11

Average Goals Conceded: 0.78

Wins: 42

Goal Difference: 86

Date	Game	Result
16/09	Milan 0 - 2 Benfica	W
13/09	Benfica 3 - 1 Gil Vicente	W
09/09	Moreirense FC 0 - 4 Benfica	W
05/09	CS Marítimo 0 - 3 Benfica	W
31/08	Benfica 2 - 1 GD Estoril Praia	W

Benfica to win the match: 9/4

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Statistical Insights for Milan vs Benfica

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Milan

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D W W L	1.6
Home	W L L D L	0.8
Away	D D W W L	1.6

Benfica

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	3
Home	W W W D W	2.6
Away	W W W W D	2.6

Favourite

Home Win

21/20

49.02%

Draw

5/2

28.57%

Away Win

12/5

29.85%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Milan

8

last 5 matches

Benfica

14

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Benfica scored +75% more goals than Milan in the last 5 matches.

Milan and Benfica goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Lazio

2

Juventus

1

Venezia

2

Torino

2

Cagliari

1

2

Milan

3

Gil Vicente

4

Moreirense FC

3

CS Marítimo

2

GD Estoril Praia

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Milan

6

last 5 matches

Benfica

2

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Milan conceded +200% more goals than Benfica in the last 5 matches.

Milan and Benfica goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Lazio

2

Juventus

1

Venezia

0

Torino

1

Cagliari

2

0

Milan

1

Gil Vicente

0

Moreirense FC

0

CS Marítimo

1

GD Estoril Praia

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Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.