Netherlands vs Sweden Prediction | 2026 World Cup | 20/06

Netherlands take on Sweden at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off at 18:00 on Saturday, 20/06.

Football's biggest stage raises the stakes, and there is plenty to know about how these two sides approach the contest.

Below you will find our full breakdown of the match, along with the bet our team rates as the best pick for this match.

Our Recommended Bet

The team at Betting.co.uk has crunched the numbers, weighing each side's recent results, scoring patterns, and defensive record to project how this one is likely to play out.

Our model factors in past meetings, in-tournament trends, and how clinical each team has been at both ends of the pitch.

The recommended bet and the reasoning behind it are below.

Recommended Bet

Under 1.5 Goals

Why we predict under 1.5 Goals

Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Netherlands vs Sweden fixture.

This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.

Key Betting Insights

Netherlands

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Netherlands's last 5 matches

Sweden

• Scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 out of Sweden's last 5 matches

Under 1.5 Goals: 11/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/11	3/1	4/1	8/11	5/6
	8/11	11/4	4/1	4/5	1/1
	8/11	13/5	7/2	4/5	10/11
	8/11	11/4	7/2	10/11	10/11

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Netherlands Preview

One game into their World Cup, Netherlands have just a single result to go on. Here is what that opening fixture returned:

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 2

• Goals Conceded: 2

Widening the lens to every competition this season, Netherlands's figures look like this:

• Matches played: 13

• Wins: 8

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 34 (Avg. 2.62)

• Goals Conceded: 10 (Avg. 0.77)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Netherlands

Goals Scored: 34

Goals Conceded: 10

Average Goals Scored: 2.62

Average Goals Conceded: 0.77

Wins: 8

Goal Difference: 24

Date	Game	Result
14/06	Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan	D
08/06	Netherlands 2 - 1 Uzbekistan	W
03/06	Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria	L
31/03	Netherlands 1 - 1 Ecuador	D
27/03	Netherlands 2 - 1 Norway	W

Netherlands to win the match: 8/11

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Sweden Preview

Sweden, too, have just one World Cup outing behind them. Their record from that single game reads:

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 5

• Goals Conceded: 1

Looking across all competitions this season, Sweden's numbers come out as follows:

• Matches played: 11

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 3

• Losses: 5

• Goals Scored: 18 (Avg. 1.64)

• Goals Conceded: 21 (Avg. 1.91)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sweden

Goals Scored: 18

Goals Conceded: 21

Average Goals Scored: 1.64

Average Goals Conceded: 1.91

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: -3

Date	Game	Result
15/06	Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia	W
04/06	Sweden 2 - 2 Greece	D
01/06	Norway 3 - 1 Sweden	L
31/03	Sweden 3 - 2 Poland	W
26/03	Ukraine 1 - 3 Sweden	W

Sweden to win the match: 4/1

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Statistical Insights for Netherlands vs Sweden

The table below stacks each side's core numbers up against the benchmark.

Scoring output, both-teams-to-score frequency and the results of their last five matches all feed in, giving you a clearer read on where the value might sit in Netherlands vs Sweden.

Key metrics

Team Form

Netherlands

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W L D W	1.6
Home	D W L D W	1.6
Away	D W W W D	2.2

Sweden

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D L W W	2
Home	W D W D L	1.6
Away	L W L L D	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

8/11

57.47%

Draw

11/4

26.32%

Away Win

4/1

20.83%

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Key Metrics

These are the areas that tend to decide betting value: corners, cards, goals scored and goals conceded.

Reading them side by side highlights each team's habits and points you toward the markets with the strongest patterns.

Key metrics

Corners

Netherlands

24

last 5 matches

Sweden

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Netherlands received +118% more corners than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

Netherlands and Sweden corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Japan

5

Uzbekistan

3

Algeria

6

Ecuador

2

Norway

8

4

Tunisia

1

Greece

1

Norway

2

Poland

3

Ukraine

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Key metrics

Cards

Netherlands

4

last 5 matches

Sweden

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.

Netherlands and Sweden cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Japan

3

Uzbekistan

1

Algeria

0

Ecuador

0

Norway

0

0

Tunisia

0

Greece

1

Norway

2

Poland

1

Ukraine

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Netherlands

7

last 5 matches

Sweden

14

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sweden scored +100% more goals than Netherlands in the last 5 matches.

Netherlands and Sweden goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Japan

2

Uzbekistan

2

Algeria

0

Ecuador

1

Norway

2

5

Tunisia

2

Greece

1

Norway

3

Poland

3

Ukraine

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Netherlands

6

last 5 matches

Sweden

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sweden conceded +50% more goals than Netherlands in the last 5 matches.

Netherlands and Sweden goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Japan

2

Uzbekistan

1

Algeria

1

Ecuador

1

Norway

1

1

Tunisia

2

Greece

3

Norway

2

Poland

1

Ukraine

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