Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 05/09
The encounter between Newcastle United and Bournemouth is set to kick off at 12:30 on Saturday, 05/09.
This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Draw
Why we predict the second half to end in a draw
We expect a draw in the second half for the Newcastle United vs Bournemouth clash.
Neither side may fully dominate after the interval, with both teams managing the game carefully. A tight and balanced second period could end all square.
Key Betting Insights
Newcastle United
Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
8 matches against Bournemouth ended in a draw
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Bournemouth
8 matches against Newcastle ended in a draw
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
2nd Half Draw: 13/8
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Newcastle United Preview
Newcastle United has completed 2 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 2 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 4 goals (2 per game) and conceded 2 (1 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Newcastle United has played 61 matches, scoring 105 goals (1.72 per match) and conceding 91 (1.49 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Newcastle United
Goals Scored:105
Goals Conceded:91
Average Goals Scored:1.72
Average Goals Conceded:1.49
Wins:26
Goal Difference:14
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Tottenham
0 - 2
Newcastle United
W
26/08
Newcastle United
3 - 2
West Bromwich
W
23/08
Newcastle United
2 - 2
Liverpool
D
24/05
Fulham
2 - 0
Newcastle United
L
17/05
Newcastle United
3 - 1
West Ham
W
Newcastle United to win the match: 23/20
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Bournemouth Preview
Across 2 Premier League matches, Bournemouth has posted 0 victories, 1 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 0.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 2 (1 per match) and conceded 3 (1.5 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Bournemouth has earned 13 wins from 42 matches across all competitions, scoring 63 goals (1.5 per match) and conceding 62 (1.48 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Bournemouth
Goals Scored:63
Goals Conceded:62
Average Goals Scored:1.5
Average Goals Conceded:1.48
Wins:13
Goal Difference:1
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Everton
D
23/08
Manchester City
2 - 1
Bournemouth
L
24/05
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Bournemouth
D
19/05
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Manchester City
D
09/05
Fulham
0 - 1
Bournemouth
W
Bournemouth to win the match: 11/5
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Statistical Insights for Newcastle United vs Bournemouth
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Newcastle United vs Bournemouth fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Newcastle United
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
D
L
W
2
Home
W
D
W
W
L
2
Away
W
L
D
L
L
0.8
Bournemouth
England - Premier League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
L
D
D
W
1.2
Home
D
D
W
D
D
1.4
Away
L
D
W
W
W
2
Favourite
Home Win
23/20
46.3%
Draw
3/1
25.19%
Away Win
11/5
31.75%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Newcastle United
10
last 5 matches
Bournemouth
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Newcastle United scored +100% more goals than Bournemouth in the last 5 matches.
Newcastle United and Bournemouth goals scored count, last 5 matches
Tottenham
2
West Bromwich
3
Liverpool
2
Fulham
0
West Ham
3
1
Everton
1
Manchester City
1
Nottingham Forest
1
Manchester City
1
Fulham
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Newcastle United
7
last 5 matches
Bournemouth
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Newcastle United conceded +40% more goals than Bournemouth in the last 5 matches.
Newcastle United and Bournemouth goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Tottenham
0
West Bromwich
2
Liverpool
2
Fulham
2
West Ham
1
1
Everton
2
Manchester City
1
Nottingham Forest
1
Manchester City
0
Fulham
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Key metrics
Corners
Newcastle United
30
last 5 matches
Bournemouth
25
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Newcastle United received +20% more corners than Bournemouth in the last 5 matches.
Newcastle United and Bournemouth corners count, last 5 matches
Tottenham
7
West Bromwich
6
Liverpool
2
Fulham
6
West Ham
9
10
Everton
3
Manchester City
3
Nottingham Forest
7
Manchester City
2
Fulham
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Key metrics
Cards
Newcastle United
13
last 5 matches
Bournemouth
12
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Newcastle United received +8% more cards than Bournemouth in the last 5 matches.
Newcastle United and Bournemouth cards count, last 5 matches
Tottenham
2
West Bromwich
3
Liverpool
5
Fulham
2
West Ham
1
3
Everton
2
Manchester City
1
Nottingham Forest
4
Manchester City
2
Fulham
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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