Newcastle United vs Liverpool Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 23/08

The encounter between Newcastle United and Liverpool is set to kick off at 16:30 on Sunday, 23/08.

This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Liverpool Win

Why we predict Liverpool to win the match

Our prediction is Liverpool to win the match.

Liverpool have the quality and momentum to secure a win on the road. With their recent performances and attacking confidence, they’re well-positioned to claim victory.

Key Betting Insights

Newcastle United

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• 7 matches against Liverpool ended in a draw
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

Liverpool

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• 7 matches against Newcastle ended in a draw
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

Liverpool Win: 5/6

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	13/5	11/4	10/11	2/5	7/4
	3/1	3/1	5/6	4/9	13/8
	3/1	11/4	5/6	4/9	13/8
	3/1	3/1	10/11	4/11	9/5

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Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle United have not played a Premier League match yet this season, so there is no Premier League record to draw on ahead of this fixture.

Across all competitions this season, Newcastle United has played 58 matches, scoring 98 goals (1.69 per match) and conceding 87 (1.5 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Newcastle United

Goals Scored: 98

Goals Conceded: 87

Average Goals Scored: 1.69

Average Goals Conceded: 1.5

Wins: 24

Goal Difference: 11

Date	Game	Result
23/08	Newcastle United 2 - 2 Liverpool	D
24/05	Fulham 2 - 0 Newcastle United	L
17/05	Newcastle United 3 - 1 West Ham	W
10/05	Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Newcastle United	D
02/05	Newcastle United 3 - 1 Brighton	W

Newcastle United to win the match: 3/1

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Liverpool Preview

Liverpool are yet to feature in the Premier League this season, so there is no Premier League form to go on here.

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Liverpool has earned 28 wins from 57 matches across all competitions, scoring 101 goals (1.77 per match) and conceding 78 (1.37 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Liverpool

Goals Scored: 101

Goals Conceded: 78

Average Goals Scored: 1.77

Average Goals Conceded: 1.37

Wins: 28

Goal Difference: 23

Date	Game	Result
23/08	Newcastle United 2 - 2 Liverpool	D
24/05	Liverpool 1 - 1 Brentford	D
15/05	Aston Villa 4 - 2 Liverpool	L
09/05	Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea	D
03/05	Manchester United 3 - 2 Liverpool	L

Liverpool to win the match: 5/6

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Statistical Insights for Newcastle United vs Liverpool

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Newcastle United vs Liverpool fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Newcastle United

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W D W L	1.4
Home	W W L L D	1.4
Away	L D L L L	0.2

Liverpool

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D L D L	0.6
Home	D D W L W	1.6
Away	L L W L L	0.6

Home Win

13/5

27.78%

Draw

11/4

25.97%

Favourite

Away Win

10/11

52.36%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Newcastle United

7

last 5 matches

Liverpool

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Liverpool scored +14% more goals than Newcastle United in the last 5 matches.

Newcastle United and Liverpool goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Fulham

0

West Ham

3

Nottingham Forest

1

Brighton

3

Arsenal

0

2

Newcastle United

1

Brentford

2

Aston Villa

1

Chelsea

2

Manchester United

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Newcastle United

6

last 5 matches

Liverpool

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Liverpool conceded +83% more goals than Newcastle United in the last 5 matches.

Newcastle United and Liverpool goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Fulham

2

West Ham

1

Nottingham Forest

1

Brighton

1

Arsenal

1

2

Newcastle United

1

Brentford

4

Aston Villa

1

Chelsea

3

Manchester United

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