Paderborn vs Freiburg Prediction & Stats | Bundesliga | 05/09
The encounter between Paderborn and Freiburg is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 05/09.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Over 3.5 Goals
Why we predict over 3.5 Goals
Our betting pick is Over 3.5 Goals for the Paderborn vs Freiburg contest.
This game promises end-to-end action, with both teams expected to push forward and create plenty of opportunities. A high-scoring affair featuring at least four goals looks realistic.
Key Betting Insights
Paderborn
Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
Undefeated in their last 4 clashes
Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
Freiburg
Scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Won 4 of their last 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals: 6/4
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Paderborn Preview
Paderborn has completed 1 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 1 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 0 goals (0 per game) and conceded 0 (0 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Paderborn has played 38 matches, scoring 68 goals (1.79 per match) and conceding 52 (1.37 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Paderborn
Goals Scored:68
Goals Conceded:52
Average Goals Scored:1.79
Average Goals Conceded:1.37
Wins:20
Goal Difference:16
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Paderborn
D
23/08
Phönix Lübeck
2 - 4
Paderborn
W
17/05
Darmstadt 98
0 - 2
Paderborn
W
08/05
Paderborn
2 - 2
Karlsruher SC
D
03/05
Elversberg
5 - 1
Paderborn
L
Paderborn to win the match: 5/2
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Freiburg Preview
Across 1 Bundesliga matches, Freiburg has posted 1 victories, 0 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 3 points per fixture. In those games they scored 4 (4 per match) and conceded 1 (1 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Freiburg has earned 29 wins from 58 matches across all competitions, scoring 101 goals (1.74 per match) and conceding 78 (1.34 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Freiburg
Goals Scored:101
Goals Conceded:78
Average Goals Scored:1.74
Average Goals Conceded:1.34
Wins:29
Goal Difference:23
Date
Game
Result
30/08
Freiburg
4 - 1
Werder Bremen
W
27/08
Freiburg
4 - 1
Motherwell
W
23/08
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1 - 5
Freiburg
W
20/08
Motherwell
1 - 3
Freiburg
W
20/05
Freiburg
0 - 3
Aston Villa
L
Freiburg to win the match: 1/1
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Statistical Insights for Paderborn vs Freiburg
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Paderborn vs Freiburg fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Paderborn
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
W
W
D
L
1.6
Home
D
L
W
W
D
1.6
Away
D
W
W
L
D
1.6
Freiburg
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
W
W
L
2.4
Home
W
W
L
W
W
2.4
Away
W
W
L
L
L
1.2
Home Win
13/5
27.78%
Draw
13/5
27.4%
Favourite
Away Win
10/11
51.28%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Paderborn
9
last 5 matches
Freiburg
16
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Freiburg scored +78% more goals than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Paderborn and Freiburg goals scored count, last 5 matches
Mainz 05
0
Phönix Lübeck
4
Darmstadt 98
2
Karlsruher SC
2
Elversberg
1
4
Werder Bremen
4
Motherwell
5
Fortuna Dusseldorf
3
Motherwell
0
Aston Villa
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Paderborn
9
last 5 matches
Freiburg
7
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Paderborn conceded +29% more goals than Freiburg in the last 5 matches.
Paderborn and Freiburg goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Mainz 05
0
Phönix Lübeck
2
Darmstadt 98
0
Karlsruher SC
2
Elversberg
5
1
Werder Bremen
1
Motherwell
1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1
Motherwell
3
Aston Villa
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Key metrics
Corners
Paderborn
22
last 5 matches
Freiburg
31
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Freiburg received +41% more corners than Paderborn in the last 5 matches.
Paderborn and Freiburg corners count, last 5 matches
Mainz 05
2
Phönix Lübeck
9
Darmstadt 98
2
Karlsruher SC
4
Elversberg
5
6
Werder Bremen
7
Motherwell
9
Fortuna Dusseldorf
8
Motherwell
1
Aston Villa
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Key metrics
Cards
Paderborn
10
last 5 matches
Freiburg
4
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Paderborn received +150% more cards than Freiburg in the last 5 matches.
Paderborn and Freiburg cards count, last 5 matches
Mainz 05
2
Phönix Lübeck
2
Darmstadt 98
2
Karlsruher SC
0
Elversberg
4
1
Werder Bremen
0
Motherwell
1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1
Motherwell
1
Aston Villa
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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