Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 01/09
The encounter between Portsmouth and Derby County is set to kick off at 19:45 on Tuesday, 01/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Under 0.5 Goals
Why we predict under 0.5 Goals
Our betting prediction is Under 0.5 Goals for the Portsmouth vs Derby County clash.
We expect a tightly contested encounter with few clear-cut chances. Both teams may cancel each other out tactically, making a goalless draw the most likely result.
Key Betting Insights
Portsmouth
Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
8 matches against Derby County ended in a draw
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Derby County
Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
8 matches against Portsmouth ended in a draw
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Under 0.5 Goals: 8/1
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Portsmouth Preview
Portsmouth has completed 2 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 1.5 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 4 goals (2 per game) and conceded 4 (2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Portsmouth has played 51 matches, scoring 56 goals (1.1 per match) and conceding 77 (1.51 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Portsmouth
Goals Scored:57
Goals Conceded:79
Average Goals Scored:1.1
Average Goals Conceded:1.52
Wins:15
Goal Difference:-22
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Bristol City
2 - 1
Portsmouth
L
22/08
Lincoln City
1 - 3
Portsmouth
W
15/08
Portsmouth
1 - 3
Queens Park Rangers
L
08/08
West Ham
3 - 1
Portsmouth
L
02/05
Portsmouth
1 - 1
Birmingham City
D
Portsmouth to win the match: 11/8
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Derby County Preview
Across 2 EFL Championship matches, Derby County has posted 0 victories, 1 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 0.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 3 (1.5 per match) and conceded 4 (2 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Derby County has earned 20 wins from 52 matches across all competitions, scoring 74 goals (1.42 per match) and conceding 71 (1.37 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Derby County
Goals Scored:74
Goals Conceded:74
Average Goals Scored:1.4
Average Goals Conceded:1.4
Wins:20
Goal Difference:0
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Derby County
0 - 3
Swansea City
L
22/08
Derby County
2 - 2
Cardiff City
D
15/08
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Derby County
L
08/08
Derby County
1 - 2
Lincoln City
L
02/05
Derby County
1 - 2
Sheffield United
L
Derby County to win the match: 2/1
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Statistical Insights for Portsmouth vs Derby County
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Portsmouth vs Derby County fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Portsmouth
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
L
L
D
0.8
Home
L
D
W
W
D
1.6
Away
L
W
L
W
L
1.2
Derby County
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
D
L
L
L
0.2
Home
L
D
L
L
W
0.8
Away
L
W
L
L
L
0.6
Favourite
Home Win
11/8
42.37%
Draw
11/5
31.95%
Away Win
2/1
32.79%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Portsmouth
7
last 5 matches
Derby County
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Portsmouth scored +40% more goals than Derby County in the last 5 matches.
Portsmouth and Derby County goals scored count, last 5 matches
Bristol City
1
Lincoln City
3
Queens Park Rangers
1
West Ham
1
Birmingham City
1
0
Swansea City
2
Cardiff City
1
Charlton Athletic
1
Lincoln City
1
Sheffield United
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Portsmouth
10
last 5 matches
Derby County
11
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Derby County conceded +10% more goals than Portsmouth in the last 5 matches.
Portsmouth and Derby County goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Bristol City
2
Lincoln City
1
Queens Park Rangers
3
West Ham
3
Birmingham City
1
3
Swansea City
2
Cardiff City
2
Charlton Athletic
2
Lincoln City
2
Sheffield United
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Key metrics
Corners
Portsmouth
29
last 5 matches
Derby County
25
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Portsmouth received +16% more corners than Derby County in the last 5 matches.
Portsmouth and Derby County corners count, last 5 matches
Bristol City
10
Lincoln City
3
Queens Park Rangers
6
West Ham
7
Birmingham City
3
5
Swansea City
7
Cardiff City
4
Charlton Athletic
3
Lincoln City
6
Sheffield United
Key metrics
Cards
Portsmouth
5
last 5 matches
Derby County
16
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Derby County received +220% more cards than Portsmouth in the last 5 matches.
Portsmouth and Derby County cards count, last 5 matches
Bristol City
0
Lincoln City
1
Queens Park Rangers
0
West Ham
2
Birmingham City
2
3
Swansea City
5
Cardiff City
3
Charlton Athletic
1
Lincoln City
4
Sheffield United
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