Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia Prediction | Europa League | 23/07
The encounter between Qarabag and CSKA Sofia is set to kick off at 17:00 on Thursday, 23/07, at Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu.
This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams’ recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Draw
Why we predict a draw
We expect the match between Qarabag and CSKA Sofia to end in a draw.
Both teams appear evenly matched, and we expect a balanced contest where neither side fully dominates. A draw looks like a likely outcome after 90 minutes.
Key Betting Insights
Qarabag
Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Qarabag's last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 4 consecutive matches
CSKA Sofia
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of CSKA Sofia's last 5 matches
Draw: 11/4
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Qarabag Preview
Qarabag is coming to the clash with CSKA Sofia with the current statistics in the Europa League:
Matches played: 2
Wins: 2
Draws: 0
Losses: 0
Goals Scored: 6 (Avg. 3)
Goals Conceded: 0 (Avg. 0)
When having a broader look at Qarabag's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:
Matches played: 18
Wins: 10
Draws: 1
Losses: 7
Goals Scored: 37 (Avg. 2.06)
Goals Conceded: 35 (Avg. 1.94)
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Qarabag
Goals Scored:37
Goals Conceded:35
Average Goals Scored:2.06
Average Goals Conceded:1.94
Wins:10
Goal Difference:2
Date
Game
Result
16/07
Vestri
0 - 3
Qarabag
W
09/07
Qarabag
3 - 0
Vestri
W
24/02
Newcastle United
3 - 2
Qarabag
L
18/02
Qarabag
1 - 6
Newcastle United
L
28/01
Liverpool
6 - 0
Qarabag
L
Qarabag to win the match: 8/15
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CSKA Sofia Preview
On the other hand, CSKA Sofia comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:
Matches played: 2
Wins: 2
Draws: 0
Losses: 0
Goals Scored: 5 (Avg. 2.5)
Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1.5)
Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:
Matches played: 38
Wins: 20
Draws: 9
Losses: 9
Goals Scored: 52 (Avg. 1.37)
Goals Conceded: 33 (Avg. 0.87)
Team Statistics/Latest Results
CSKA Sofia
Goals Scored:52
Goals Conceded:33
Average Goals Scored:1.33
Average Goals Conceded:0.85
Wins:20
Goal Difference:19
Date
Game
Result
20/07
Slavia Sofia
0 - 0
CSKA Sofia
D
16/07
Derry City
1 - 2
CSKA Sofia
W
09/07
CSKA Sofia
3 - 2
Derry City
W
25/05
Ludogorets
1 - 0
CSKA Sofia
L
16/05
Levski Sofia
2 - 0
CSKA Sofia
L
CSKA Sofia to win the match: 7/2
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Statistical Insights for Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia
Here’s a statistical breakdown comparing each team’s key metrics to the league average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia fixture.
Key metrics compared to league average
Match Statistics Overview
Statistic
Teams Combined Average
League Average
Goal Average
3.5
goals
2.17
goals
Both Teams to Score
50%
average
33%
average
Over 1.5+
100%
average
67%
average
Over 2.5+
100%
average
57%
average
Cards
2
cards
3
cards
Corners
17
corners
11.33
corners
Key metrics
Team Form
Qarabag
Europe - Europa League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
L
L
L
1.2
Home
W
L
W
L
D
1.4
Away
W
L
L
L
L
0.6
CSKA Sofia
Europe - Europa League
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
W
W
L
L
1.4
Home
W
D
W
L
D
1.6
Away
D
W
L
L
W
1.4
Favourite
Home Win
4/7
64.1%
Draw
3/1
25%
Away Win
4/1
19.23%
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Key Metrics
Here’s a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: corners, cards, goals scored, and goals conceded.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Corners
Qarabag
37
last 5 matches
CSKA Sofia
30
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Qarabag received +23% more corners than CSKA Sofia in the last 5 matches.
Qarabag and CSKA Sofia corners count, last 5 matches
Vestri
13
Vestri
9
Newcastle United
6
Newcastle United
8
Liverpool
1
11
Slavia Sofia
6
Derry City
6
Derry City
5
Ludogorets
2
Levski Sofia
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Key metrics
Cards
Qarabag
2
last 5 matches
CSKA Sofia
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
CSKA Sofia received +400% more cards than Qarabag in the last 5 matches.
Qarabag and CSKA Sofia cards count, last 5 matches
Vestri
0
Vestri
0
Newcastle United
1
Newcastle United
0
Liverpool
1
2
Slavia Sofia
4
Derry City
0
Derry City
1
Ludogorets
3
Levski Sofia
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Qarabag
9
last 5 matches
CSKA Sofia
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Qarabag scored +80% more goals than CSKA Sofia in the last 5 matches.
Qarabag and CSKA Sofia goals scored count, last 5 matches
Vestri
3
Vestri
3
Newcastle United
2
Newcastle United
1
Liverpool
0
0
Slavia Sofia
2
Derry City
3
Derry City
0
Ludogorets
0
Levski Sofia
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Qarabag
15
last 5 matches
CSKA Sofia
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Qarabag conceded +150% more goals than CSKA Sofia in the last 5 matches.
Qarabag and CSKA Sofia goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Vestri
0
Vestri
0
Newcastle United
3
Newcastle United
6
Liverpool
6
0
Slavia Sofia
1
Derry City
2
Derry City
1
Ludogorets
2
Levski Sofia
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