San Marino vs Finland Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 26/09

The encounter between San Marino and Finland is set to kick off at 17:00 on Saturday, 26/09, at Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Under 0.5 Goals

Why we predict under 0.5 Goals in the second half

Our tip is Second Half – Under 0.5 Goals for the San Marino vs Finland fixture. We anticipate a tight and tactical second half where both defenses hold firm. A goalless second period is a realistic possibility if the teams prioritize stability over risk.

Key Betting Insights

San Marino

• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of San Marino's last 5 matches

Finland

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 3 of Finland's last 5 matches

2nd Half Under 0.5 Goals: 10/3

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	25/1	8/1	1/8	4/7	6/4
	20/1	8/1	1/10	8/15	11/8
	20/1	9/1	1/20	1/2	5/4

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San Marino Preview

San Marino is yet to feature in the UEFA Nations League, so this fixture marks their first outing in the competition.

Looking at San Marino's performance across all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 12

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 11

• Goals Scored: 5 (Avg. 0.42)

• Goals Conceded: 45 (Avg. 3.75)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

San Marino

Goals Scored: 5

Goals Conceded: 45

Average Goals Scored: 0.42

Average Goals Conceded: 3.75

Wins: 0

Goal Difference: -40

Date	Game	Result
09/06	Azerbaijan 2 - 1 San Marino	L
05/06	San Marino 1 - 2 Bangladesh	L
31/03	San Marino 0 - 0 Andorra	D
28/03	San Marino 1 - 2 Faroe Islands	L
18/11	Romania 7 - 1 San Marino	L

San Marino to win the match: 20/1

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Finland Preview

On the other hand, Finland is yet to play a match in the UEFA Nations League, making this their first appearance in the competition.

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 12

• Wins: 4

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 6

• Goals Scored: 12 (Avg. 1)

• Goals Conceded: 21 (Avg. 1.75)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Finland

Goals Scored: 12

Goals Conceded: 21

Average Goals Scored: 1

Average Goals Conceded: 1.75

Wins: 4

Goal Difference: -9

Date	Game	Result
05/06	Hungary 2 - 1 Finland	L
31/05	Germany 4 - 0 Finland	L
30/03	Cape Verde 1 - 1 Finland	D
27/03	New Zealand 0 - 2 Finland	W
17/11	Finland 4 - 0 Andorra	W

Finland to win the match: 1/20

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Statistical Insights for San Marino vs Finland

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

San Marino

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.2
Home	L D L L L	0.2
Away	L L L L L	0

Finland

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L D W W	1.4
Home	W L W W L	1.8
Away	L L D W L	0.8

Home Win

25/1

3.37%

Draw

8/1

11.11%

Favourite

Away Win

1/10

91.74%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

San Marino

4

last 5 matches

Finland

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Finland scored +100% more goals than San Marino in the last 5 matches.

San Marino and Finland goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Azerbaijan

1

Bangladesh

1

Andorra

0

Faroe Islands

1

Romania

1

1

Hungary

0

Germany

1

Cape Verde

2

New Zealand

4

Andorra

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

San Marino

13

last 5 matches

Finland

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

San Marino conceded +86% more goals than Finland in the last 5 matches.

San Marino and Finland goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Azerbaijan

2

Bangladesh

2

Andorra

0

Faroe Islands

2

Romania

7

2

Hungary

4

Germany

1

Cape Verde

0

New Zealand

0

Andorra

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