Southampton vs Swansea City Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 08/09
The encounter between Southampton and Swansea City is set to kick off at 19:45 on Tuesday, 08/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Under 0.5 Goals
Why we predict under 0.5 Goals in the second half
Our tip is Second Half – Under 0.5 Goals for the Southampton vs Swansea City fixture. We anticipate a tight and tactical second half where both defenses hold firm. A goalless second period is a realistic possibility if the teams prioritize stability over risk.
Key Betting Insights
Southampton
Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 5 out of Southampton's last 5 matches
Swansea City
Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
5 matches against Southampton ended in a draw
Undefeated in their last 4 clashes
2nd Half Under 0.5 Goals: 3/1
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Southampton Preview
Southampton has completed 4 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 1.75 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 10 goals (2.5 per game) and conceded 5 (1.25 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Southampton has played 62 matches, scoring 111 goals (1.79 per match) and conceding 74 (1.19 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Southampton
Goals Scored:112
Goals Conceded:75
Average Goals Scored:1.78
Average Goals Conceded:1.19
Wins:32
Goal Difference:37
Date
Game
Result
08/09
Southampton
3 - 1
Swansea City
W
05/09
Lincoln City
1 - 1
Southampton
D
01/09
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Southampton
D
29/08
Southampton
5 - 1
Millwall
W
25/08
Southampton
1 - 4
West Ham
L
Southampton to win the match: 8/11
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Swansea City Preview
Across 4 EFL Championship matches, Swansea City has posted 3 victories, 1 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 2.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 7 (1.75 per match) and conceded 1 (0.25 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Swansea City has earned 23 wins from 56 matches across all competitions, scoring 74 goals (1.32 per match) and conceding 70 (1.25 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Swansea City
Goals Scored:74
Goals Conceded:70
Average Goals Scored:1.3
Average Goals Conceded:1.23
Wins:23
Goal Difference:4
Date
Game
Result
08/09
Southampton
3 - 1
Swansea City
L
05/09
Swansea City
0 - 0
Wrexham
D
01/09
Swansea City
2 - 0
Watford
W
29/08
Derby County
0 - 3
Swansea City
W
22/08
Swansea City
0 - 0
Sheffield United
D
Swansea City to win the match: 3/1
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Statistical Insights for Southampton vs Swansea City
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Southampton vs Swansea City fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Southampton
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
D
W
L
W
1.6
Home
W
L
W
W
D
2
Away
D
D
L
W
D
1.2
Swansea City
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
D
W
W
D
1.6
Home
D
W
D
L
W
1.6
Away
W
W
D
W
W
2.6
Favourite
Home Win
8/11
56.82%
Draw
3/1
25.64%
Away Win
3/1
25.64%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Southampton
11
last 5 matches
Swansea City
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Southampton scored +83% more goals than Swansea City in the last 5 matches.
Southampton and Swansea City goals scored count, last 5 matches
Lincoln City
1
Birmingham City
1
Millwall
5
West Ham
1
Stoke City
3
1
Southampton
0
Wrexham
2
Watford
3
Derby County
0
Sheffield United
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Southampton
8
last 5 matches
Swansea City
3
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Southampton conceded +167% more goals than Swansea City in the last 5 matches.
Southampton and Swansea City goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Lincoln City
1
Birmingham City
1
Millwall
1
West Ham
4
Stoke City
1
3
Southampton
0
Wrexham
0
Watford
0
Derby County
0
Sheffield United
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Key metrics
Corners
Southampton
25
last 5 matches
Swansea City
25
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams were awarded the same number of corners in the last 5 matches.
Southampton and Swansea City corners count, last 5 matches
Lincoln City
6
Birmingham City
5
Millwall
8
West Ham
2
Stoke City
4
3
Southampton
5
Wrexham
5
Watford
6
Derby County
6
Sheffield United
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Key metrics
Cards
Southampton
9
last 5 matches
Swansea City
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Southampton received +13% more cards than Swansea City in the last 5 matches.
Southampton and Swansea City cards count, last 5 matches
Lincoln City
0
Birmingham City
2
Millwall
2
West Ham
2
Stoke City
3
1
Southampton
3
Wrexham
0
Watford
2
Derby County
2
Sheffield United
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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