Stevenage vs Luton Town Prediction & Stats | EFL League One | 10/09
The encounter between Stevenage and Luton Town is set to kick off at 20:00 on Thursday, 10/09.
This EFL League One fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Over 3.5 Goals
Why we predict over 3.5 Goals
Our betting pick is Over 3.5 Goals for the Stevenage vs Luton Town contest.
This game promises end-to-end action, with both teams expected to push forward and create plenty of opportunities. A high-scoring affair featuring at least four goals looks realistic.
Key Betting Insights
Stevenage
Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Stevenage's last 5 matches
Luton Town
Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Luton Town's last 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals: 12/5
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Stevenage Preview
Stevenage has completed 5 fixtures in the EFL League One, securing 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 1.2 points per game. In the EFL League One, the team has scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Stevenage has played 61 matches, scoring 74 goals (1.21 per match) and conceding 69 (1.13 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Stevenage
Goals Scored:74
Goals Conceded:69
Average Goals Scored:1.21
Average Goals Conceded:1.13
Wins:26
Goal Difference:5
Date
Game
Result
10/09
Stevenage
2 - 1
Luton Town
W
05/09
Barnsley
1 - 5
Stevenage
W
01/09
Peterborough United
0 - 0
Stevenage
D
29/08
Stevenage
2 - 2
Doncaster Rovers
D
25/08
Stevenage
0 - 3
Reading
L
Stevenage to win the match: 12/5
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Luton Town Preview
Across 5 EFL League One matches, Luton Town has posted 2 victories, 2 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 1.6 points per fixture. In those games they scored 11 (2.2 per match) and conceded 11 (2.2 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Luton Town has earned 31 wins from 64 matches across all competitions, scoring 108 goals (1.69 per match) and conceding 85 (1.33 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Luton Town
Goals Scored:108
Goals Conceded:85
Average Goals Scored:1.69
Average Goals Conceded:1.33
Wins:31
Goal Difference:23
Date
Game
Result
10/09
Stevenage
2 - 1
Luton Town
L
05/09
Luton Town
1 - 1
Leyton Orient
D
02/09
Luton Town
2 - 0
Stockport County
W
30/08
Mansfield Town
5 - 2
Luton Town
L
27/08
Chelsea
2 - 0
Luton Town
L
Luton Town to win the match: 10/11
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Statistical Insights for Stevenage vs Luton Town
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Stevenage vs Luton Town fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Stevenage
England - EFL League One
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
D
L
L
1
Home
D
L
L
L
W
0.8
Away
W
D
D
W
L
1.6
Luton Town
England - EFL League One
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
D
W
L
L
0.8
Home
D
W
D
W
W
2.2
Away
L
L
W
W
W
1.8
Home Win
2/1
32.26%
Draw
12/5
29.41%
Favourite
Away Win
10/11
53.48%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Stevenage
8
last 5 matches
Luton Town
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Stevenage scored +33% more goals than Luton Town in the last 5 matches.
Stevenage and Luton Town goals scored count, last 5 matches
Barnsley
5
Peterborough United
0
Doncaster Rovers
2
Reading
0
Oxford United
1
1
Stevenage
1
Leyton Orient
2
Stockport County
2
Mansfield Town
0
Chelsea
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Stevenage
8
last 5 matches
Luton Town
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Luton Town conceded +25% more goals than Stevenage in the last 5 matches.
Stevenage and Luton Town goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Barnsley
1
Peterborough United
0
Doncaster Rovers
2
Reading
3
Oxford United
2
2
Stevenage
1
Leyton Orient
0
Stockport County
5
Mansfield Town
2
Chelsea
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Key metrics
Corners
Stevenage
26
last 5 matches
Luton Town
23
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Stevenage received +13% more corners than Luton Town in the last 5 matches.
Stevenage and Luton Town corners count, last 5 matches
Barnsley
3
Peterborough United
3
Doncaster Rovers
9
Reading
5
Oxford United
6
4
Stevenage
7
Leyton Orient
2
Stockport County
7
Mansfield Town
3
Chelsea
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Key metrics
Cards
Stevenage
6
last 5 matches
Luton Town
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Luton Town received +33% more cards than Stevenage in the last 5 matches.
Stevenage and Luton Town cards count, last 5 matches
Barnsley
2
Peterborough United
1
Doncaster Rovers
0
Reading
2
Oxford United
1
2
Stevenage
2
Leyton Orient
1
Stockport County
2
Mansfield Town
1
Chelsea
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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