Swansea City vs Burnley Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 12/09
The encounter between Swansea City and Burnley is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 12/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
Why we predict over 2.5 Goals
Our prediction is Over 2.5 Goals for the Swansea City vs Burnley encounter.
We anticipate an entertaining match with attacking intent from both teams. Given their offensive potential and defensive vulnerabilities, three or more goals seem likely.
Key Betting Insights
Swansea City
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5 home games
Under 10.5 corners landed in 3 of Swansea City's last 5 matches
Burnley
Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of Burnley's last 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals: 10/11
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Swansea City Preview
Swansea City has completed 5 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 2.2 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) and conceded 1 (0.2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Swansea City has played 57 matches, scoring 74 goals (1.3 per match) and conceding 70 (1.23 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Swansea City
Goals Scored:75
Goals Conceded:73
Average Goals Scored:1.29
Average Goals Conceded:1.26
Wins:23
Goal Difference:2
Date
Game
Result
12/09
Swansea City
3 - 1
Burnley
W
08/09
Southampton
3 - 1
Swansea City
L
05/09
Swansea City
0 - 0
Wrexham
D
01/09
Swansea City
2 - 0
Watford
W
29/08
Derby County
0 - 3
Swansea City
W
Swansea City to win the match: 21/20
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Burnley Preview
Across 5 EFL Championship matches, Burnley has posted 0 victories, 2 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 0.4 points per fixture. In those games they scored 6 (1.2 per match) and conceded 12 (2.4 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Burnley has earned 6 wins from 49 matches across all competitions, scoring 54 goals (1.1 per match) and conceding 94 (1.92 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Burnley
Goals Scored:55
Goals Conceded:95
Average Goals Scored:1.1
Average Goals Conceded:1.9
Wins:6
Goal Difference:-40
Date
Game
Result
12/09
Swansea City
3 - 1
Burnley
L
08/09
Wrexham
1 - 1
Burnley
D
05/09
Burnley
1 - 2
Bristol City
L
02/09
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
D
29/08
Norwich City
4 - 1
Burnley
L
Burnley to win the match: 9/4
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Statistical Insights for Swansea City vs Burnley
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Swansea City vs Burnley fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Swansea City
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
D
W
W
D
1.6
Home
D
W
D
L
W
1.6
Away
L
W
W
D
W
2
Burnley
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
D
L
D
L
0.4
Home
L
D
D
D
D
0.8
Away
D
L
D
L
L
0.4
Favourite
Home Win
21/20
48.54%
Draw
5/2
28.57%
Away Win
9/4
30.77%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Swansea City
6
last 5 matches
Burnley
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Swansea City scored +20% more goals than Burnley in the last 5 matches.
Swansea City and Burnley goals scored count, last 5 matches
Southampton
1
Wrexham
0
Watford
2
Derby County
3
Sheffield United
0
1
Swansea City
1
Wrexham
1
Bristol City
1
Middlesbrough
1
Norwich City
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Swansea City
3
last 5 matches
Burnley
11
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Burnley conceded +267% more goals than Swansea City in the last 5 matches.
Swansea City and Burnley goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Southampton
3
Wrexham
0
Watford
0
Derby County
0
Sheffield United
0
3
Swansea City
1
Wrexham
2
Bristol City
1
Middlesbrough
4
Norwich City
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Key metrics
Corners
Swansea City
25
last 5 matches
Burnley
25
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Both teams were awarded the same number of corners in the last 5 matches.
Swansea City and Burnley corners count, last 5 matches
Southampton
3
Wrexham
5
Watford
5
Derby County
6
Sheffield United
6
6
Swansea City
4
Wrexham
5
Bristol City
5
Middlesbrough
5
Norwich City
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Key metrics
Cards
Swansea City
8
last 5 matches
Burnley
11
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Burnley received +38% more cards than Swansea City in the last 5 matches.
Swansea City and Burnley cards count, last 5 matches
Southampton
1
Wrexham
3
Watford
0
Derby County
2
Sheffield United
2
1
Swansea City
3
Wrexham
3
Bristol City
2
Middlesbrough
2
Norwich City
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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