Sweden vs Romania Prediction | UEFA Nations League | 25/09

The encounter between Sweden and Romania is set to kick off at 19:45 on Friday, 25/09, at Strawberry Arena.

This UEFA Nations League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals

Why we predict over 2.5 Goals in the second half

Our prediction is Second Half – Over 2.5 Goals for the Sweden vs Romania encounter. An intense, end-to-end finish is expected, with both sides likely to press hard in search of goals. Three or more second-half goals are possible if the match becomes open and free-flowing.

Key Betting Insights

Sweden

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Sweden's last 5 matches

Romania

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Romania's last 5 matches

2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals: 13/5

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/15	16/5	5/1	8/13	5/4
	1/2	10/3	9/2	8/13	5/4
	4/7	16/5	9/2	8/15	21/20

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Sweden Preview

Sweden is yet to feature in the UEFA Nations League, so this fixture marks their first outing in the competition.

Looking at Sweden's performance across all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 14

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 7

• Goals Scored: 20 (Avg. 1.43)

• Goals Conceded: 30 (Avg. 2.14)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sweden

Goals Scored: 20

Goals Conceded: 30

Average Goals Scored: 1.43

Average Goals Conceded: 2.14

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: -10

Date	Game	Result
30/06	France 3 - 0 Sweden	L
25/06	Japan 1 - 1 Sweden	D
20/06	Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden	L
15/06	Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia	W
04/06	Sweden 2 - 2 Greece	D

Sweden to win the match: 4/7

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Romania Preview

On the other hand, Romania is yet to play a match in the UEFA Nations League, making this their first appearance in the competition.

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 12

• Wins: 5

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 5

• Goals Scored: 22 (Avg. 1.83)

• Goals Conceded: 15 (Avg. 1.25)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Romania

Goals Scored: 22

Goals Conceded: 15

Average Goals Scored: 1.83

Average Goals Conceded: 1.25

Wins: 5

Goal Difference: 7

Date	Game	Result
06/06	Romania 2 - 1 Wales	W
02/06	Georgia 1 - 1 Romania	D
31/03	Slovakia 2 - 0 Romania	L
26/03	Turkey 1 - 0 Romania	L
18/11	Romania 7 - 1 San Marino	W

Romania to win the match: 9/2

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Statistical Insights for Sweden vs Romania

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Sweden

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L D L W D	1
Home	W D W D L	1.6
Away	L D L L W	0.8

Romania

International - UEFA Nations League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D L L W	1.4
Home	W W W W L	2.4
Away	D L L L D	0.4

Favourite

Home Win

1/2

67.57%

Draw

10/3

23.09%

Away Win

9/2

18.18%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Sweden

9

last 5 matches

Romania

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Romania scored +11% more goals than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

Sweden and Romania goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

France

0

Japan

1

Netherlands

1

Tunisia

5

Greece

2

2

Wales

1

Georgia

0

Slovakia

0

Turkey

7

San Marino

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Sweden

12

last 5 matches

Romania

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sweden conceded +100% more goals than Romania in the last 5 matches.

Sweden and Romania goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

France

3

Japan

1

Netherlands

5

Tunisia

1

Greece

2

1

Wales

1

Georgia

2

Slovakia

1

Turkey

1

San Marino

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