Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction | 2026 World Cup | 15/06

Sweden take on Tunisia at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off at 03:00 on Monday, 15/06.

Football's biggest stage raises the stakes, and there is plenty to know about how these two sides approach the contest.

Below you will find our full breakdown of the match, along with the bet our team rates as the best pick for this match.

Our Recommended Bet

The team at Betting.co.uk has crunched the numbers, weighing each side's recent results, scoring patterns, and defensive record to project how this one is likely to play out.

Our model factors in past meetings, in-tournament trends, and how clinical each team has been at both ends of the pitch.

The recommended bet and the reasoning behind it are below.

Recommended Bet

Tunisia Win

Why we predict Tunisia to win the match

Our prediction is Tunisia to win the match.

Tunisia have the quality and momentum to secure a win on the road. With their recent performances and attacking confidence, they’re well-positioned to claim victory.

Key Betting Insights

Sweden

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 out of Sweden's last 5 matches

Tunisia

• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 of Tunisia's last 5 matches
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 3 of Tunisia's last 5 matches

Tunisia Win: 16/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £42.00

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	10/11	12/5	16/5	6/5	4/6
	5/6	5/2	7/2	6/5	4/6
	10/11	9/4	3/1	6/5	8/11
	10/11	12/5	7/2	23/20	8/11

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Sweden Preview

Sweden are yet to kick off their 2026 World Cup, so there is no tournament form to lean on just yet. The picture is built instead from how they arrive at the finals.

Widening the lens to every competition this season, Sweden's figures look like this:

• Matches played: 10

• Wins: 2

• Draws: 3

• Losses: 5

• Goals Scored: 13 (Avg. 1.3)

• Goals Conceded: 20 (Avg. 2)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sweden

Goals Scored: 18

Goals Conceded: 21

Average Goals Scored: 1.64

Average Goals Conceded: 1.91

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: -3

Date	Game	Result
15/06	Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia	W
04/06	Sweden 2 - 2 Greece	D
01/06	Norway 3 - 1 Sweden	L
31/03	Sweden 3 - 2 Poland	W
26/03	Ukraine 1 - 3 Sweden	W

Sweden to win the match: 10/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £19.09

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Tunisia Preview

Tunisia are also waiting to begin their 2026 World Cup, leaving no tournament data to work with. The box below reflects their build-up to the finals instead.

Looking across all competitions this season, Tunisia's numbers come out as follows:

• Matches played: 14

• Wins: 10

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 23 (Avg. 1.64)

• Goals Conceded: 6 (Avg. 0.43)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Tunisia

Goals Scored: 24

Goals Conceded: 11

Average Goals Scored: 1.6

Average Goals Conceded: 0.73

Wins: 10

Goal Difference: 13

Date	Game	Result
15/06	Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia	L
06/06	Belgium 5 - 0 Tunisia	L
01/06	Austria 1 - 0 Tunisia	L
01/04	Canada 0 - 0 Tunisia	D
29/03	Haiti 0 - 1 Tunisia	W

Tunisia to win the match: 7/2

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Statistical Insights for Sweden vs Tunisia

The table below stacks each side's core numbers up against the benchmark.

Scoring output, both-teams-to-score frequency and the results of their last five matches all feed in, giving you a clearer read on where the value might sit in Sweden vs Tunisia.

Key metrics

Team Form

Sweden

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L W W D	1.6
Home	D W D L L	1
Away	L W L L D	0.8

Tunisia

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L D W	0.8
Home	W W D W W	2.6
Away	L L D W D	1

Favourite

Home Win

10/11

52.63%

Draw

12/5

30.03%

Away Win

7/2

22.32%

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Key Metrics

These are the areas that tend to decide betting value: corners, cards, goals scored and goals conceded.

Reading them side by side highlights each team's habits and points you toward the markets with the strongest patterns.

Key metrics

Corners

Sweden

13

last 5 matches

Tunisia

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sweden received +30% more corners than Tunisia in the last 5 matches.

Sweden and Tunisia corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Greece

1

Norway

1

Poland

2

Ukraine

3

Slovenia

6

2

Sweden

0

Belgium

4

Austria

1

Canada

3

Haiti

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Key metrics

Cards

Sweden

6

last 5 matches

Tunisia

7

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Tunisia received +17% more cards than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

Sweden and Tunisia cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Greece

0

Norway

1

Poland

2

Ukraine

1

Slovenia

2

1

Sweden

1

Belgium

1

Austria

2

Canada

2

Haiti

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Sweden

10

last 5 matches

Tunisia

2

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sweden scored +400% more goals than Tunisia in the last 5 matches.

Sweden and Tunisia goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Greece

2

Norway

1

Poland

3

Ukraine

3

Slovenia

1

1

Sweden

0

Belgium

0

Austria

0

Canada

1

Haiti

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Sweden

9

last 5 matches

Tunisia

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Tunisia conceded +22% more goals than Sweden in the last 5 matches.

Sweden and Tunisia goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Greece

2

Norway

3

Poland

2

Ukraine

1

Slovenia

1

5

Sweden

5

Belgium

1

Austria

0

Canada

0

Haiti

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