Thun vs Lech Poznań Prediction | Europa League | 27/08

The encounter between Thun and Lech Poznań is set to kick off at 19:00 on Thursday, 27/08, at Stockhorn Arena.

This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals

Why we predict over 1.5 Goals in the second half

Our recommended bet is Second Half – Over 1.5 Goals for the Thun vs Lech Poznań fixture. We anticipate a more attacking second period, with both teams increasing tempo and risk. Substitutions and stretched defenses could lead to two or more goals after the break.

Key Betting Insights

Thun

• Scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Thun's last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Lech Poznań

• Scored 18 goals in their last 5 matches
• Won 5 of their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes

2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals: 5/6

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	7/4	11/4	5/4	4/7	5/4
	13/8	11/4	23/20	8/15	7/5
	9/5	12/5	6/5	8/13	7/5
	9/5	5/2	6/5	4/7	5/4

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Thun Preview

Thun is coming to the clash with Lech Poznań with the current statistics in the Europa League:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 5 (Avg. 1.67)

• Goals Conceded: 10 (Avg. 3.33)

When having a broader look at Thun's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 46

• Wins: 26

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 16

• Goals Scored: 93 (Avg. 2.02)

• Goals Conceded: 77 (Avg. 1.67)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Thun

Goals Scored: 93

Goals Conceded: 77

Average Goals Scored: 2.02

Average Goals Conceded: 1.67

Wins: 26

Goal Difference: 16

Date	Game	Result
20/08	Lech Poznań 7 - 0 Thun	L
13/08	Víkingur Reykjavík 3 - 2 Thun	L
09/08	Basel 4 - 2 Thun	L
06/08	Thun 3 - 0 Víkingur Reykjavík	W
01/08	Thun 0 - 6 Young Boys	L

Thun to win the match: 9/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.00

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Lech Poznań Preview

On the other hand, Lech Poznań comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:

• Matches played: 3

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 13 (Avg. 4.33)

• Goals Conceded: 0 (Avg. 0)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 58

• Wins: 31

• Draws: 15

• Losses: 12

• Goals Scored: 116 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 74 (Avg. 1.28)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Lech Poznań

Goals Scored: 116

Goals Conceded: 74

Average Goals Scored: 2

Average Goals Conceded: 1.28

Wins: 31

Goal Difference: 42

Date	Game	Result
20/08	Lech Poznań 7 - 0 Thun	W
14/08	KÍ 0 - 5 Lech Poznań	W
09/08	Lech Poznań 3 - 0 Piast Gliwice	W
06/08	Lech Poznań 1 - 0 KÍ	W
01/08	Wieczysta Kraków 1 - 2 Lech Poznań	W

Lech Poznań to win the match: 6/5

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Statistical Insights for Thun vs Lech Poznań

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Thun

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L W L	0.6
Home	W L D L L	0.8
Away	L L L L W	0.6

Lech Poznań

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	3
Home	W W W L D	2
Away	W W W W W	3

Home Win

13/8

38.17%

Draw

11/4

26.67%

Favourite

Away Win

5/4

44.64%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Thun

7

last 5 matches

Lech Poznań

18

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lech Poznań scored +157% more goals than Thun in the last 5 matches.

Thun and Lech Poznań goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Lech Poznań

0

Víkingur Reykjavík

2

Basel

2

Víkingur Reykjavík

3

Young Boys

0

7

Thun

5

KÍ

3

Piast Gliwice

1

KÍ

2

Wieczysta Kraków

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Thun

20

last 5 matches

Lech Poznań

1

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Thun conceded +1900% more goals than Lech Poznań in the last 5 matches.

Thun and Lech Poznań goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Lech Poznań

7

Víkingur Reykjavík

3

Basel

4

Víkingur Reykjavík

0

Young Boys

6

0

Thun

0

KÍ

0

Piast Gliwice

0

KÍ

1

Wieczysta Kraków

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Key metrics

Corners

Thun

21

last 5 matches

Lech Poznań

32

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Lech Poznań received +52% more corners than Thun in the last 5 matches.

Thun and Lech Poznań corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Lech Poznań

3

Víkingur Reykjavík

3

Basel

5

Víkingur Reykjavík

6

Young Boys

4

5

Thun

9

KÍ

6

Piast Gliwice

5

KÍ

7

Wieczysta Kraków

Key metrics

Cards

Thun

12

last 5 matches

Lech Poznań

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Thun received +100% more cards than Lech Poznań in the last 5 matches.

Thun and Lech Poznań cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Lech Poznań

2

Víkingur Reykjavík

4

Basel

3

Víkingur Reykjavík

2

Young Boys

1

1

Thun

2

KÍ

1

Piast Gliwice

1

KÍ

1

Wieczysta Kraków

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.