Truro City vs Merthyr Town Prediction | FA Cup | 22/09

The encounter between Truro City and Merthyr Town is set to kick off at 19:45 on Tuesday, 22/09, at Truro Sports Hub.

This FA Cup fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Draw

Why we predict a draw

We expect the match between Truro City and Merthyr Town to end in a draw.

Both teams appear evenly matched, and we expect a balanced contest where neither side fully dominates. A draw looks like a likely outcome after 90 minutes.

Key Betting Insights

Truro City

• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 5 of Truro City's last 5 matches
• Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Merthyr Town

• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Merthyr Town's last 5 matches

Draw: 11/4

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	4/5	5/2	5/2	1/2	23/20
	5/6	11/4	9/4	4/7	11/8
	8/11	3/1	13/5	1/2	11/8

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Truro City Preview

Truro City is coming to the clash with Merthyr Town with the current statistics in the FA Cup:

• Matches played: 1

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 1)

• Goals Conceded: 1 (Avg. 1)

When having a broader look at Truro City's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 48

• Wins: 8

• Draws: 12

• Losses: 28

• Goals Scored: 44 (Avg. 0.92)

• Goals Conceded: 74 (Avg. 1.54)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Truro City

Goals Scored: 44

Goals Conceded: 74

Average Goals Scored: 0.92

Average Goals Conceded: 1.54

Wins: 8

Goal Difference: -30

Date	Game	Result
19/09	Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Truro City	D
25/04	Aldershot Town 0 - 2 Truro City	W
18/04	Truro City 0 - 1 Carlisle United	L
11/04	Boston United 1 - 0 Truro City	L
06/04	Truro City 1 - 1 Forest Green Rovers	D

Truro City to win the match: 5/6

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Merthyr Town Preview

On the other hand, Merthyr Town comes into this fixture with the following statistics in FA Cup:

• Matches played: 4

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 6 (Avg. 1.5)

• Goals Conceded: 5 (Avg. 1.25)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 8

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 3

• Goals Scored: 12 (Avg. 1.5)

• Goals Conceded: 8 (Avg. 1)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Merthyr Town

Goals Scored: 12

Goals Conceded: 8

Average Goals Scored: 1.5

Average Goals Conceded: 1

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: 4

Date	Game	Result
19/09	Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Truro City	D
25/08	Haywards Heath Town 2 - 1 Merthyr Town	L
22/08	Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Haywards Heath Town	D
08/08	Merthyr Town 3 - 1 Phoenix Sports	W
27/09	Merthyr Town 0 - 1 Hampton & Richmond	L

Merthyr Town to win the match: 5/2

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Statistical Insights for Truro City vs Merthyr Town

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Truro City

England - FA Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W L L D	1
Home	L D D D L	0.6
Away	D W L L W	1.4

Merthyr Town

England - FA Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	1
Home	D D W L W	1.6
Away	L L D L W	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

4/5

55.25%

Draw

5/2

28.17%

Away Win

5/2

28.57%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Truro City

4

last 5 matches

Merthyr Town

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Merthyr Town scored +50% more goals than Truro City in the last 5 matches.

Truro City and Merthyr Town goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Merthyr Town

1

Aldershot Town

2

Carlisle United

0

Boston United

0

Forest Green Rovers

1

1

Truro City

1

Haywards Heath Town

1

Haywards Heath Town

3

Phoenix Sports

0

Hampton & Richmond

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Truro City

4

last 5 matches

Merthyr Town

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Merthyr Town conceded +50% more goals than Truro City in the last 5 matches.

Truro City and Merthyr Town goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Merthyr Town

1

Aldershot Town

0

Carlisle United

1

Boston United

1

Forest Green Rovers

1

1

Truro City

2

Haywards Heath Town

1

Haywards Heath Town

1

Phoenix Sports

1

Hampton & Richmond

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Key metrics

Corners

Truro City

33

last 5 matches

Merthyr Town

5

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Truro City received +560% more corners than Merthyr Town in the last 5 matches.

Truro City and Merthyr Town corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Merthyr Town

11

Aldershot Town

1

Carlisle United

9

Boston United

6

Forest Green Rovers

6

4

Truro City

-1

Haywards Heath Town

-1

Haywards Heath Town

-1

Phoenix Sports

4

Hampton & Richmond

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.