Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction | 2026 World Cup | 26/06

Tunisia take on Netherlands at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off at 00:00 on Friday, 26/06.

Football's biggest stage raises the stakes, and there is plenty to know about how these two sides approach the contest.

Below you will find our full breakdown of the match, along with the bet our team rates as the best pick for this match.

Our Recommended Bet

The team at Betting.co.uk has crunched the numbers, weighing each side's recent results, scoring patterns, and defensive record to project how this one is likely to play out.

Our model factors in past meetings, in-tournament trends, and how clinical each team has been at both ends of the pitch.

The recommended bet and the reasoning behind it are below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals

Why we predict under 0.5 Goals in the first half

Our tip is First Half – Under 0.5 Goals for the Tunisia vs Netherlands fixture.

We foresee a cautious opening, with both teams feeling each other out and avoiding early risks. A goalless first half is a realistic outcome here.

Key Betting Insights

Tunisia

• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Lost 4 of their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Tunisia's last 5 matches

Netherlands

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Netherlands's last 5 matches

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals: 10/3

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	33/1	9/1	1/10	4/11	2/1
	20/1	9/1	1/10	2/5	15/8
	20/1	8/1	1/10	2/5	2/1
	5/1	9/1	1/20	1/3	2/1

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Tunisia Preview

Tunisia have built up this record at the 2026 World Cup so far:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

• Goals Conceded: 9 (Avg. 4.5)

Widening the lens to every competition this season, Tunisia's figures look like this:

• Matches played: 16

• Wins: 10

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 4

• Goals Scored: 24 (Avg. 1.5)

• Goals Conceded: 15 (Avg. 0.94)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Tunisia

Goals Scored: 24

Goals Conceded: 15

Average Goals Scored: 1.5

Average Goals Conceded: 0.94

Wins: 10

Goal Difference: 9

Date	Game	Result
21/06	Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan	L
15/06	Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia	L
06/06	Belgium 5 - 0 Tunisia	L
01/06	Austria 1 - 0 Tunisia	L
01/04	Canada 0 - 0 Tunisia	D

Tunisia to win the match: 33/1

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Netherlands Preview

Netherlands, meanwhile, head into this tie with the following 2026 World Cup record:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 7 (Avg. 3.5)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1.5)

Looking across all competitions this season, Netherlands's numbers come out as follows:

• Matches played: 14

• Wins: 9

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 39 (Avg. 2.79)

• Goals Conceded: 11 (Avg. 0.79)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Netherlands

Goals Scored: 39

Goals Conceded: 11

Average Goals Scored: 2.79

Average Goals Conceded: 0.79

Wins: 9

Goal Difference: 28

Date	Game	Result
20/06	Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden	W
14/06	Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan	D
08/06	Netherlands 2 - 1 Uzbekistan	W
03/06	Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria	L
31/03	Netherlands 1 - 1 Ecuador	D

Netherlands to win the match: 1/20

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Statistical Insights for Tunisia vs Netherlands

The table below stacks each side's core numbers up against the benchmark.

Scoring output, both-teams-to-score frequency and the results of their last five matches all feed in, giving you a clearer read on where the value might sit in Tunisia vs Netherlands.

Key metrics

Team Form

Tunisia

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L L L L D	0.2
Home	L W W D W	2
Away	L L L D W	0.8

Netherlands

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D W L D	1.6
Home	W D W L D	1.6
Away	D W W W D	2.2

Home Win

33/1

3.23%

Draw

9/1

10%

Favourite

Away Win

1/10

90.91%

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Key Metrics

These are the areas that tend to decide betting value: corners, cards, goals scored and goals conceded.

Reading them side by side highlights each team's habits and points you toward the markets with the strongest patterns.

Key metrics

Corners

Tunisia

10

last 5 matches

Netherlands

18

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Netherlands received +80% more corners than Tunisia in the last 5 matches.

Tunisia and Netherlands corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Japan

3

Sweden

2

Belgium

0

Austria

4

Canada

1

2

Sweden

5

Japan

3

Uzbekistan

6

Algeria

2

Ecuador

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Key metrics

Cards

Tunisia

5

last 5 matches

Netherlands

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Tunisia received +25% more cards than Netherlands in the last 5 matches.

Tunisia and Netherlands cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Japan

0

Sweden

1

Belgium

1

Austria

1

Canada

2

0

Sweden

3

Japan

1

Uzbekistan

0

Algeria

0

Ecuador

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Tunisia

1

last 5 matches

Netherlands

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Netherlands scored +900% more goals than Tunisia in the last 5 matches.

Tunisia and Netherlands goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Japan

0

Sweden

1

Belgium

0

Austria

0

Canada

0

5

Sweden

2

Japan

2

Uzbekistan

0

Algeria

1

Ecuador

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Tunisia

15

last 5 matches

Netherlands

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Tunisia conceded +150% more goals than Netherlands in the last 5 matches.

Tunisia and Netherlands goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Japan

4

Sweden

5

Belgium

5

Austria

1

Canada

0

1

Sweden

2

Japan

1

Uzbekistan

1

Algeria

1

Ecuador

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