Uruguay vs Spain Prediction | 2026 World Cup | 27/06

Uruguay take on Spain at the 2026 World Cup, with kick-off at 01:00 on Saturday, 27/06.

Football's biggest stage raises the stakes, and there is plenty to know about how these two sides approach the contest.

Below you will find our full breakdown of the match, along with the bet our team rates as the best pick for this match.

Our Recommended Bet

The team at Betting.co.uk has crunched the numbers, weighing each side's recent results, scoring patterns, and defensive record to project how this one is likely to play out.

Our model factors in past meetings, in-tournament trends, and how clinical each team has been at both ends of the pitch.

The recommended bet and the reasoning behind it are below.

Recommended Bet

Over 10.5 Corners

Why we predict over 10.5 corners

Our pick is Corners – Over 10.5 for the Uruguay vs Spain clash.

Expect an open game with sustained attacking pressure from both sides. Frequent deliveries from wide areas and set-piece opportunities could easily push the corner count into double digits.

Key Betting Insights

Uruguay

• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Uruguay's last 5 matches

Spain

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• 3/5 matches ended in a draw

Over 10.5 Corners: 9/5

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.00

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	9/2	13/5	4/6	5/4	4/6
	9/2	5/2	4/6	6/5	4/6
	9/2	9/4	4/6	11/8	4/6
	5/1	5/2	4/6	5/4	4/6

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Uruguay Preview

Uruguay have built up this record at the 2026 World Cup so far:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 3 (Avg. 1.5)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1.5)

Widening the lens to every competition this season, Uruguay's figures look like this:

• Matches played: 22

• Wins: 7

• Draws: 11

• Losses: 4

• Goals Scored: 25 (Avg. 1.14)

• Goals Conceded: 17 (Avg. 0.77)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Uruguay

Goals Scored: 25

Goals Conceded: 17

Average Goals Scored: 1.14

Average Goals Conceded: 0.77

Wins: 7

Goal Difference: 8

Date	Game	Result
21/06	Uruguay 2 - 2 Cape Verde	D
15/06	Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay	D
31/03	Algeria 0 - 0 Uruguay	D
27/03	England 1 - 1 Uruguay	D
19/11	USA 5 - 1 Uruguay	L

Uruguay to win the match: 9/2

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £55.00

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Spain Preview

Spain, meanwhile, head into this tie with the following 2026 World Cup record:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 4 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 0 (Avg. 0)

Looking across all competitions this season, Spain's numbers come out as follows:

• Matches played: 12

• Wins: 8

• Draws: 4

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 32 (Avg. 2.67)

• Goals Conceded: 4 (Avg. 0.33)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Spain

Goals Scored: 32

Goals Conceded: 4

Average Goals Scored: 2.67

Average Goals Conceded: 0.33

Wins: 8

Goal Difference: 28

Date	Game	Result
21/06	Spain 4 - 0 Saudi Arabia	W
15/06	Spain 0 - 0 Cape Verde	D
09/06	Peru 1 - 3 Spain	W
04/06	Spain 1 - 1 Iraq	D
31/03	Spain 0 - 0 Egypt	D

Spain to win the match: 4/6

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Statistical Insights for Uruguay vs Spain

The table below stacks each side's core numbers up against the benchmark.

Scoring output, both-teams-to-score frequency and the results of their last five matches all feed in, giving you a clearer read on where the value might sit in Uruguay vs Spain.

Key metrics

Team Form

Uruguay

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	0.8
Home	D W W W L	2
Away	D D D L D	0.8

Spain

International - World Cup

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W D W D D	1.8
Home	W D D D W	1.8
Away	W W W W D	2.6

Home Win

5/1

16.67%

Draw

13/5

27.62%

Favourite

Away Win

4/6

59.88%

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Key Metrics

These are the areas that tend to decide betting value: corners, cards, goals scored and goals conceded.

Reading them side by side highlights each team's habits and points you toward the markets with the strongest patterns.

Key metrics

Corners

Uruguay

36

last 5 matches

Spain

39

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Spain received +8% more corners than Uruguay in the last 5 matches.

Uruguay and Spain corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Cape Verde

11

Saudi Arabia

14

Algeria

6

England

0

USA

5

6

Saudi Arabia

11

Cape Verde

6

Peru

5

Iraq

11

Egypt

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Key metrics

Cards

Uruguay

9

last 5 matches

Spain

3

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Uruguay received +200% more cards than Spain in the last 5 matches.

Uruguay and Spain cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Cape Verde

2

Saudi Arabia

0

Algeria

3

England

2

USA

2

0

Saudi Arabia

1

Cape Verde

0

Peru

2

Iraq

0

Egypt

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Uruguay

5

last 5 matches

Spain

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Spain scored +60% more goals than Uruguay in the last 5 matches.

Uruguay and Spain goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Cape Verde

2

Saudi Arabia

1

Algeria

0

England

1

USA

1

4

Saudi Arabia

0

Cape Verde

3

Peru

1

Iraq

0

Egypt

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Uruguay

9

last 5 matches

Spain

2

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Uruguay conceded +350% more goals than Spain in the last 5 matches.

Uruguay and Spain goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Cape Verde

2

Saudi Arabia

1

Algeria

0

England

1

USA

5

0

Saudi Arabia

0

Cape Verde

1

Peru

1

Iraq

0

Egypt

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