USA vs Peru Prediction | International Friendlies | 26/09

USA and Peru meet in an international friendly at 21:30 on Saturday, 26/09.

This international friendly offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides looking to make a statement.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Draw

Why we predict a draw

We expect the match between USA and Peru to end in a draw.

Both teams appear evenly matched, and we expect a balanced contest where neither side fully dominates. A draw looks like a likely outcome after 90 minutes.

Key Betting Insights

USA

• Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
• Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
• Won 3 of their last 5 matches

Peru

• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Peru's last 5 matches

Draw: 16/5

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	4/11	16/5	6/1	4/5	5/6
	4/9	7/2	15/2	4/5	1/1
	4/11	7/2	6/1	10/11	10/11

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USA Preview

USA comes into this clash with the following record in international friendlies:

• Matches played: 4

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 3

• Goals Scored: 6 (Avg. 1.5)

• Goals Conceded: 11 (Avg. 2.75)

Across all competitions this season, the numbers are:

• Matches played: 9

• Wins: 4

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 5

• Goals Scored: 17 (Avg. 1.89)

• Goals Conceded: 19 (Avg. 2.11)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

USA

Goals Scored: 17

Goals Conceded: 19

Average Goals Scored: 1.89

Average Goals Conceded: 2.11

Wins: 4

Goal Difference: -2

Date	Game	Result
07/07	USA 1 - 4 Belgium	L
02/07	USA 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina	W
26/06	Turkey 3 - 2 USA	L
19/06	USA 2 - 0 Australia	W
13/06	USA 4 - 1 Paraguay	W

USA to win the match: 4/11

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Peru Preview

On the other hand, Peru comes into this fixture with the following record in international friendlies:

• Matches played: 4

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 5 (Avg. 1.25)

• Goals Conceded: 8 (Avg. 2)

Across all competitions this season, the team's performance reads:

• Matches played: 22

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 7

• Losses: 12

• Goals Scored: 11 (Avg. 0.5)

• Goals Conceded: 29 (Avg. 1.32)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Peru

Goals Scored: 11

Goals Conceded: 29

Average Goals Scored: 0.5

Average Goals Conceded: 1.32

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: -18

Date	Game	Result
09/06	Peru 1 - 3 Spain	L
06/06	Haiti 1 - 2 Peru	W
31/03	Peru 2 - 2 Honduras	D
28/03	Senegal 2 - 0 Peru	L
18/11	Chile 2 - 1 Peru	L

Peru to win the match: 6/1

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Statistical Insights for USA vs Peru

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the USA vs Peru fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

USA

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W L W W	1.8
Home	L W W W L	1.8
Away	L L W L L	0.6

Peru

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W D L L	0.8
Home	L D L D W	1
Away	W L L D L	0.8

Favourite

Home Win

4/11

72.46%

Draw

7/2

21.28%

Away Win

6/1

14.04%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: corners, cards, goals scored, and goals conceded.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Corners

USA

26

last 5 matches

Peru

22

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

USA received +18% more corners than Peru in the last 5 matches.

USA and Peru corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Belgium

3

Bosnia and Herzegovina

4

Turkey

9

Australia

7

Paraguay

3

4

Spain

3

Haiti

5

Honduras

6

Senegal

4

Chile

Key metrics

Cards

USA

7

last 5 matches

Peru

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Peru received +57% more cards than USA in the last 5 matches.

USA and Peru cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Belgium

2

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0

Turkey

1

Australia

3

Paraguay

1

1

Spain

4

Haiti

3

Honduras

1

Senegal

2

Chile

Key metrics

Goals Scored

USA

11

last 5 matches

Peru

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

USA scored +83% more goals than Peru in the last 5 matches.

USA and Peru goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Belgium

1

Bosnia and Herzegovina

2

Turkey

2

Australia

2

Paraguay

4

1

Spain

2

Haiti

2

Honduras

0

Senegal

1

Chile

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

USA

8

last 5 matches

Peru

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Peru conceded +25% more goals than USA in the last 5 matches.

USA and Peru goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Belgium

4

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0

Turkey

3

Australia

0

Paraguay

1

3

Spain

1

Haiti

2

Honduras

2

Senegal

2

Chile

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Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.