Watford vs Southampton Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 16/08

The encounter between Watford and Southampton is set to kick off at 13:30 on Sunday, 16/08.

This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 7.5 Corners

Why we predict under 7.5 corners

Our recommended bet is Corners – Under 7.5 for the Watford vs Southampton matchup.

We expect a controlled, tactical game with few attacks from wide areas. Both teams may focus on ball retention rather than constant forward pressure, resulting in a low corner count overall.

Key Betting Insights

Watford

• 9 matches against Southampton ended in a draw
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Lost 4 of their last 5 matches

Southampton

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• 9 matches against Watford ended in a draw
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes

Under 7.5 Corners: 7/2

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	13/5	5/2	1/1	4/6	6/5
	5/2	5/2	1/1	4/5	1/1
	9/4	9/4	21/20	4/5	6/5
	11/4	13/5	5/6	4/6	23/20

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Watford Preview

Watford have not played a EFL Championship match yet this season, so there is no EFL Championship record to draw on ahead of this fixture.

Across all competitions this season, Watford has played 49 matches, scoring 56 goals (1.14 per match) and conceding 72 (1.47 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Watford

Goals Scored: 56

Goals Conceded: 72

Average Goals Scored: 1.14

Average Goals Conceded: 1.47

Wins: 15

Goal Difference: -16

Date	Game	Result
16/08	Watford 2 - 1 Southampton	W
08/08	Watford 1 - 0 Crawley Town	W
02/05	Watford 0 - 4 Coventry City	L
25/04	Middlesbrough 5 - 1 Watford	L
21/04	West Bromwich 3 - 0 Watford	L

Watford to win the match: 13/5

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Southampton Preview

Southampton are yet to feature in the EFL Championship this season, so there is no EFL Championship form to go on here.

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Southampton has earned 30 wins from 57 matches across all competitions, scoring 100 goals (1.75 per match) and conceding 65 (1.14 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Southampton

Goals Scored: 100

Goals Conceded: 65

Average Goals Scored: 1.75

Average Goals Conceded: 1.14

Wins: 30

Goal Difference: 35

Date	Game	Result
16/08	Watford 2 - 1 Southampton	L
08/08	Colchester United 0 - 2 Southampton	W
12/05	Southampton 2 - 1 Middlesbrough	W
09/05	Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Southampton	D
02/05	Preston North End 1 - 3 Southampton	W

Southampton to win the match: 1/1

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Statistical Insights for Watford vs Southampton

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Watford vs Southampton fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Watford

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L L L L	0.6
Home	W L L D D	1
Away	L L L L L	0

Southampton

England - EFL Championship

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W D W	2
Home	W D D W W	2.2
Away	W D W L W	2

Home Win

5/2

28.57%

Draw

9/4

30.3%

Favourite

Away Win

21/20

48.78%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Watford

2

last 5 matches

Southampton

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Southampton scored +300% more goals than Watford in the last 5 matches.

Watford and Southampton goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Crawley Town

1

Coventry City

0

Middlesbrough

1

West Bromwich

0

Sheffield United

0

1

Watford

2

Colchester United

2

Middlesbrough

0

Middlesbrough

3

Preston North End

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Watford

14

last 5 matches

Southampton

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Watford conceded +250% more goals than Southampton in the last 5 matches.

Watford and Southampton goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Crawley Town

0

Coventry City

4

Middlesbrough

5

West Bromwich

3

Sheffield United

2

2

Watford

0

Colchester United

1

Middlesbrough

0

Middlesbrough

1

Preston North End

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