Watford vs Stoke City Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 12/09
The encounter between Watford and Stoke City is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 12/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Stoke City Clean Sheet: Yes
Why we think Stoke City will keep a clean sheet
We expect Stoke City to keep a clean sheet in their match against Watford. Stoke City has shown strong defensive discipline, and we expect them to keep things tight at the back. With an organized setup and solid back line, they have a good chance of shutting out Watford.
Key Betting Insights
Watford
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Watford's last 5 matches
Scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches
Stoke City
Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
Under 10.5 corners landed in 4 of Stoke City's last 5 matches
Stoke City Clean Sheet: Yes: 5/2
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Watford Preview
Watford has completed 5 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 4 goals (0.8 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Watford has played 55 matches, scoring 61 goals (1.11 per match) and conceding 83 (1.51 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Watford
Goals Scored:63
Goals Conceded:84
Average Goals Scored:1.13
Average Goals Conceded:1.5
Wins:17
Goal Difference:-21
Date
Game
Result
12/09
Watford
1 - 2
Stoke City
L
08/09
Watford
2 - 1
Preston North End
W
05/09
West Bromwich
1 - 0
Watford
L
01/09
Swansea City
2 - 0
Watford
L
29/08
Watford
1 - 1
West Ham
D
Watford to win the match: 5/4
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Stoke City Preview
Across 5 EFL Championship matches, Stoke City has posted 2 victories, 0 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.2 points per fixture. In those games they scored 8 (1.6 per match) and conceded 9 (1.8 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Stoke City has earned 19 wins from 57 matches across all competitions, scoring 64 goals (1.12 per match) and conceding 71 (1.25 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Stoke City
Goals Scored:65
Goals Conceded:72
Average Goals Scored:1.12
Average Goals Conceded:1.24
Wins:19
Goal Difference:-7
Date
Game
Result
12/09
Watford
1 - 2
Stoke City
W
08/09
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Stoke City
D
05/09
Stoke City
4 - 0
Charlton Athletic
W
01/09
Stoke City
1 - 0
Norwich City
W
29/08
Wolverhampton
4 - 1
Stoke City
L
Stoke City to win the match: 11/5
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Statistical Insights for Watford vs Stoke City
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Watford vs Stoke City fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Watford
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
L
D
L
0.8
Home
W
D
L
W
W
2
Away
L
L
D
L
L
0.2
Stoke City
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
W
W
L
2
Home
W
W
D
L
W
2
Away
D
L
L
L
L
0.2
Favourite
Home Win
6/4
40.82%
Draw
9/4
30.77%
Away Win
11/5
31.25%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Watford
4
last 5 matches
Stoke City
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Stoke City scored +125% more goals than Watford in the last 5 matches.
Watford and Stoke City goals scored count, last 5 matches
Preston North End
2
West Bromwich
0
Swansea City
0
West Ham
1
Peterborough United
1
2
Watford
1
Cardiff City
4
Charlton Athletic
1
Norwich City
1
Wolverhampton
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Watford
10
last 5 matches
Stoke City
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Watford conceded +67% more goals than Stoke City in the last 5 matches.
Watford and Stoke City goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Preston North End
1
West Bromwich
1
Swansea City
2
West Ham
1
Peterborough United
5
1
Watford
1
Cardiff City
0
Charlton Athletic
0
Norwich City
4
Wolverhampton
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Key metrics
Corners
Watford
14
last 5 matches
Stoke City
22
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Stoke City received +57% more corners than Watford in the last 5 matches.
Watford and Stoke City corners count, last 5 matches
Preston North End
2
West Bromwich
4
Swansea City
3
West Ham
3
Peterborough United
2
8
Watford
5
Cardiff City
5
Charlton Athletic
3
Norwich City
1
Wolverhampton
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Key metrics
Cards
Watford
10
last 5 matches
Stoke City
11
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Stoke City received +10% more cards than Watford in the last 5 matches.
Watford and Stoke City cards count, last 5 matches
Preston North End
0
West Bromwich
3
Swansea City
4
West Ham
3
Peterborough United
0
2
Watford
2
Cardiff City
1
Charlton Athletic
2
Norwich City
4
Wolverhampton
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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