West Ham vs Derby County Prediction & Stats | EFL Championship | 05/09
The encounter between West Ham and Derby County is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 05/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
BTTS 2nd Half
Why we predict BTTS 2nd Half - Yes
Our recommended bet is BTTS 2nd Half – Yes for the West Ham vs Derby County fixture. Expect a lively second half as both teams push for results, especially if the first half ends level. We expect chances for both sides to score after the break.
Key Betting Insights
West Ham
Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 5 out of West Ham's last 5 matches
Derby County
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of Derby County's last 5 matches
BTTS 2nd Half: 3/1
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West Ham Preview
West Ham has completed 3 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 0.67 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 4 goals (1.33 per game) and conceded 5 (1.67 per game).
Across all competitions this season, West Ham has played 48 matches, scoring 66 goals (1.38 per match) and conceding 80 (1.67 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
West Ham
Goals Scored:70
Goals Conceded:82
Average Goals Scored:1.43
Average Goals Conceded:1.67
Wins:15
Goal Difference:-12
Date
Game
Result
01/09
West Ham
4 - 2
Wolverhampton
W
29/08
Watford
1 - 1
West Ham
D
25/08
Southampton
1 - 4
West Ham
W
22/08
West Ham
1 - 2
Charlton Athletic
L
16/08
Burnley
2 - 2
West Ham
D
West Ham to win the match: 2/5
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Derby County Preview
Across 3 EFL Championship matches, Derby County has posted 0 victories, 1 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 0.33 points per fixture. In those games they scored 3 (1 per match) and conceded 7 (2.33 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Derby County has earned 20 wins from 53 matches across all competitions, scoring 74 goals (1.4 per match) and conceding 74 (1.4 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Derby County
Goals Scored:76
Goals Conceded:74
Average Goals Scored:1.41
Average Goals Conceded:1.37
Wins:21
Goal Difference:2
Date
Game
Result
01/09
Portsmouth
0 - 2
Derby County
W
29/08
Derby County
0 - 3
Swansea City
L
22/08
Derby County
2 - 2
Cardiff City
D
15/08
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Derby County
L
08/08
Derby County
1 - 2
Lincoln City
L
Derby County to win the match: 13/2
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Statistical Insights for West Ham vs Derby County
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the West Ham vs Derby County fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
West Ham
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
W
L
D
1.6
Home
W
L
W
W
L
1.8
Away
D
W
D
L
L
1
Derby County
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
D
L
L
0.8
Home
L
D
L
L
W
0.8
Away
W
L
W
L
L
1.2
Favourite
Home Win
1/3
74.63%
Draw
7/2
21.05%
Away Win
8/1
11.11%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
West Ham
12
last 5 matches
Derby County
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
West Ham scored +100% more goals than Derby County in the last 5 matches.
West Ham and Derby County goals scored count, last 5 matches
Wolverhampton
4
Watford
1
Southampton
4
Charlton Athletic
1
Burnley
2
2
Portsmouth
0
Swansea City
2
Cardiff City
1
Charlton Athletic
1
Lincoln City
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
West Ham
8
last 5 matches
Derby County
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Derby County conceded +13% more goals than West Ham in the last 5 matches.
West Ham and Derby County goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Wolverhampton
2
Watford
1
Southampton
1
Charlton Athletic
2
Burnley
2
0
Portsmouth
3
Swansea City
2
Cardiff City
2
Charlton Athletic
2
Lincoln City
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Key metrics
Corners
West Ham
35
last 5 matches
Derby County
21
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
West Ham received +67% more corners than Derby County in the last 5 matches.
West Ham and Derby County corners count, last 5 matches
Wolverhampton
6
Watford
11
Southampton
5
Charlton Athletic
7
Burnley
6
2
Portsmouth
5
Swansea City
7
Cardiff City
4
Charlton Athletic
3
Lincoln City
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Key metrics
Cards
West Ham
9
last 5 matches
Derby County
14
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Derby County received +56% more cards than West Ham in the last 5 matches.
West Ham and Derby County cards count, last 5 matches
Wolverhampton
2
Watford
1
Southampton
0
Charlton Athletic
2
Burnley
4
2
Portsmouth
3
Swansea City
5
Cardiff City
3
Charlton Athletic
1
Lincoln City
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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