The encounter between Wrexham and Burnley is set to kick off at 19:45 on Tuesday, 08/09.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals
Why we predict over 2.5 Goals in the second half
Our prediction is Second Half – Over 2.5 Goals for the Wrexham vs Burnley encounter. An intense, end-to-end finish is expected, with both sides likely to press hard in search of goals. Three or more second-half goals are possible if the match becomes open and free-flowing.
Key Betting Insights
Wrexham
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 4 consecutive matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Burnley
Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of Burnley's last 5 matches
2nd Half Over 2.5 Goals: 7/2
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Wrexham Preview
Wrexham has completed 4 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 1.25 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 6 goals (1.5 per game) and conceded 4 (1 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Wrexham has played 58 matches, scoring 90 goals (1.55 per match) and conceding 84 (1.45 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Wrexham
Goals Scored:90
Goals Conceded:84
Average Goals Scored:1.53
Average Goals Conceded:1.42
Wins:23
Goal Difference:6
Date
Game
Result
08/09
Wrexham
1 - 1
Burnley
D
05/09
Swansea City
0 - 0
Wrexham
D
02/09
Millwall
0 - 3
Wrexham
W
28/08
Wrexham
1 - 2
Birmingham City
L
22/08
Wrexham
1 - 1
Watford
D
Wrexham to win the match: 21/20
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Burnley Preview
Across 4 EFL Championship matches, Burnley has posted 0 victories, 2 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 0.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 5 (1.25 per match) and conceded 10 (2.5 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Burnley has earned 6 wins from 48 matches across all competitions, scoring 53 goals (1.1 per match) and conceding 92 (1.92 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Burnley
Goals Scored:54
Goals Conceded:94
Average Goals Scored:1.1
Average Goals Conceded:1.92
Wins:6
Goal Difference:-40
Date
Game
Result
08/09
Wrexham
1 - 1
Burnley
D
05/09
Burnley
1 - 2
Bristol City
L
02/09
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
D
29/08
Norwich City
4 - 1
Burnley
L
26/08
Bradford City
0 - 0
Burnley
D
Burnley to win the match: 12/5
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Statistical Insights for Wrexham vs Burnley
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Wrexham vs Burnley fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Wrexham
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
W
L
D
D
1.2
Home
L
D
D
W
L
1
Away
D
W
D
L
L
1
Burnley
England - EFL Championship
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
L
D
L
D
0.6
Home
L
D
D
D
D
0.8
Away
L
D
L
L
L
0.2
Favourite
Home Win
21/20
48.78%
Draw
12/5
29.85%
Away Win
5/2
28.99%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Wrexham
6
last 5 matches
Burnley
4
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Wrexham scored +50% more goals than Burnley in the last 5 matches.
Wrexham and Burnley goals scored count, last 5 matches
Swansea City
0
Millwall
3
Birmingham City
1
Watford
1
Cardiff City
1
1
Wrexham
1
Bristol City
1
Middlesbrough
1
Norwich City
0
Bradford City
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Wrexham
4
last 5 matches
Burnley
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Burnley conceded +100% more goals than Wrexham in the last 5 matches.
Wrexham and Burnley goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Swansea City
0
Millwall
0
Birmingham City
2
Watford
1
Cardiff City
1
1
Wrexham
2
Bristol City
1
Middlesbrough
4
Norwich City
0
Bradford City
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Key metrics
Corners
Wrexham
26
last 5 matches
Burnley
33
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Burnley received +27% more corners than Wrexham in the last 5 matches.
Wrexham and Burnley corners count, last 5 matches
Swansea City
2
Millwall
2
Birmingham City
3
Watford
10
Cardiff City
9
4
Wrexham
5
Bristol City
5
Middlesbrough
5
Norwich City
14
Bradford City
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Key metrics
Cards
Wrexham
6
last 5 matches
Burnley
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Burnley received +67% more cards than Wrexham in the last 5 matches.
Wrexham and Burnley cards count, last 5 matches
Swansea City
0
Millwall
1
Birmingham City
1
Watford
2
Cardiff City
2
3
Wrexham
3
Bristol City
2
Middlesbrough
2
Norwich City
0
Bradford City
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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