Athletic vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Stats | La Liga | 05/09
The encounter between Athletic and Atlético Madrid is set to kick off at 15:15 on Saturday, 05/09.
This La Liga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
Atlético Madrid Win
Why we predict Atlético Madrid to win the match
Our prediction is Atlético Madrid to win the match.
Atlético Madrid have the quality and momentum to secure a win on the road. With their recent performances and attacking confidence, they’re well-positioned to claim victory.
Key Betting Insights
Athletic
Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches
4 matches against Atlético Madrid ended in a draw
Atlético Madrid
Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
4 matches against Athletic Bilbao ended in a draw
Atlético Madrid Win: 5/4
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Athletic Preview
Athletic has completed 3 fixtures in the La Liga, securing 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 1 points per game. In the La Liga, the team has scored 3 goals (1 per game) and conceded 5 (1.67 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Athletic has played 55 matches, scoring 62 goals (1.13 per match) and conceding 88 (1.6 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Athletic
Goals Scored:62
Goals Conceded:88
Average Goals Scored:1.13
Average Goals Conceded:1.6
Wins:19
Goal Difference:-26
Date
Game
Result
30/08
Celta de Vigo
0 - 2
Athletic
W
27/08
Barcelona
2 - 0
Athletic
L
22/08
Athletic
1 - 3
Sevilla
L
23/05
Real Madrid
4 - 2
Athletic
L
17/05
Athletic
1 - 1
Celta de Vigo
D
Athletic to win the match: 2/1
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Atlético Madrid Preview
Across 3 La Liga matches, Atlético Madrid has posted 2 victories, 1 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 2.33 points per fixture. In those games they scored 7 (2.33 per match) and conceded 3 (1 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Atlético Madrid has earned 34 wins from 64 matches across all competitions, scoring 120 goals (1.88 per match) and conceding 84 (1.31 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Atlético Madrid
Goals Scored:120
Goals Conceded:84
Average Goals Scored:1.88
Average Goals Conceded:1.31
Wins:34
Goal Difference:36
Date
Game
Result
29/08
Sevilla
1 - 3
Atlético Madrid
W
23/08
Atlético Madrid
2 - 2
Villarreal
D
19/08
Atlético Madrid
2 - 0
Málaga
W
24/05
Villarreal
5 - 1
Atlético Madrid
L
17/05
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Girona
W
Atlético Madrid to win the match: 5/4
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Statistical Insights for Athletic vs Atlético Madrid
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Athletic vs Atlético Madrid fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Athletic
Spain - La Liga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
L
L
D
0.8
Home
L
D
L
W
L
0.8
Away
W
L
L
L
W
1.2
Atlético Madrid
Spain - La Liga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
D
W
L
W
2
Home
D
W
W
L
D
1.6
Away
W
L
W
L
W
1.8
Home Win
2/1
32.26%
Draw
9/4
30.3%
Favourite
Away Win
5/4
43.48%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Athletic
6
last 5 matches
Atlético Madrid
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Atlético Madrid scored +50% more goals than Athletic in the last 5 matches.
Athletic and Atlético Madrid goals scored count, last 5 matches
Celta de Vigo
2
Barcelona
0
Sevilla
1
Real Madrid
2
Celta de Vigo
1
3
Sevilla
2
Villarreal
2
Málaga
1
Villarreal
1
Girona
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Athletic
10
last 5 matches
Atlético Madrid
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Athletic conceded +25% more goals than Atlético Madrid in the last 5 matches.
Athletic and Atlético Madrid goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Celta de Vigo
0
Barcelona
2
Sevilla
3
Real Madrid
4
Celta de Vigo
1
1
Sevilla
2
Villarreal
0
Málaga
5
Villarreal
0
Girona
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Key metrics
Corners
Athletic
28
last 5 matches
Atlético Madrid
31
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Atlético Madrid received +11% more corners than Athletic in the last 5 matches.
Athletic and Atlético Madrid corners count, last 5 matches
Celta de Vigo
7
Barcelona
5
Sevilla
10
Real Madrid
1
Celta de Vigo
5
2
Sevilla
5
Villarreal
6
Málaga
9
Villarreal
9
Girona
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Key metrics
Cards
Athletic
9
last 5 matches
Atlético Madrid
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Atlético Madrid received +11% more cards than Athletic in the last 5 matches.
Athletic and Atlético Madrid cards count, last 5 matches
Celta de Vigo
3
Barcelona
2
Sevilla
2
Real Madrid
0
Celta de Vigo
2
2
Sevilla
3
Villarreal
2
Málaga
1
Villarreal
2
Girona
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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