Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats | La Liga | 20/09
The encounter between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid is set to kick off at 15:15 on Sunday, 20/09.
This La Liga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
Why we predict under 1.5 Goals in the first half
Our betting recommendation is First Half – Under 1.5 Goals for the Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid contest.
Both sides may prioritize defensive organization early on, resulting in limited action. One or fewer goals before halftime looks likely.
Key Betting Insights
Atlético Madrid
16 matches against Real Madrid ended in a draw
Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
Won 3 of their last 5 matches
Real Madrid
16 matches against Atlético Madrid ended in a draw
Scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches
Won 4 of their last 5 matches
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals: 8/13
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Atlético Madrid Preview
Atlético Madrid has completed 5 fixtures in the La Liga, securing 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 2 points per game. In the La Liga, the team has scored 10 goals (2 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Atlético Madrid has played 67 matches, scoring 124 goals (1.85 per match) and conceding 89 (1.33 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Atlético Madrid
Goals Scored:128
Goals Conceded:89
Average Goals Scored:1.88
Average Goals Conceded:1.31
Wins:36
Goal Difference:39
Date
Game
Result
20/09
Atlético Madrid
2 - 1
Real Madrid
W
16/09
Atlético Madrid
4 - 0
Osasuna
W
13/09
Real Sociedad
0 - 3
Atlético Madrid
W
09/09
Liverpool
2 - 1
Atlético Madrid
L
05/09
Athletic
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
L
Atlético Madrid to win the match: 13/5
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Real Madrid Preview
Across 6 La Liga matches, Real Madrid has posted 5 victories, 0 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 2.5 points per fixture. In those games they scored 17 (2.83 per match) and conceded 6 (1 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Real Madrid has earned 44 wins from 63 matches across all competitions, scoring 138 goals (2.19 per match) and conceding 71 (1.13 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Real Madrid
Goals Scored:138
Goals Conceded:71
Average Goals Scored:2.19
Average Goals Conceded:1.13
Wins:44
Goal Difference:67
Date
Game
Result
20/09
Atlético Madrid
2 - 1
Real Madrid
L
15/09
Elche CF
2 - 3
Real Madrid
W
12/09
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
W
08/09
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Inter Milan
W
04/09
Betis
1 - 0
Real Madrid
L
Real Madrid to win the match: 1/1
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Statistical Insights for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Atlético Madrid
Spain - La Liga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
L
L
W
1.8
Home
W
D
W
W
L
2
Away
W
L
L
W
L
1.2
Real Madrid
Spain - La Liga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
W
W
L
1.8
Home
W
W
W
W
W
3
Away
W
L
W
W
L
1.8
Home Win
13/5
27.78%
Draw
13/5
27.4%
Favourite
Away Win
1/1
50%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Atlético Madrid
11
last 5 matches
Real Madrid
10
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Atlético Madrid scored +10% more goals than Real Madrid in the last 5 matches.
Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid goals scored count, last 5 matches
Osasuna
4
Real Sociedad
3
Liverpool
1
Athletic
0
Sevilla
3
1
Atlético Madrid
3
Elche CF
4
Rayo Vallecano
2
Inter Milan
0
Betis
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Atlético Madrid
6
last 5 matches
Real Madrid
7
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Real Madrid conceded +17% more goals than Atlético Madrid in the last 5 matches.
Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Osasuna
0
Real Sociedad
0
Liverpool
2
Athletic
3
Sevilla
1
2
Atlético Madrid
2
Elche CF
1
Rayo Vallecano
1
Inter Milan
1
Betis
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Key metrics
Corners
Atlético Madrid
26
last 5 matches
Real Madrid
31
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Real Madrid received +19% more corners than Atlético Madrid in the last 5 matches.
Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid corners count, last 5 matches
Osasuna
8
Real Sociedad
3
Liverpool
5
Athletic
8
Sevilla
2
1
Atlético Madrid
5
Elche CF
11
Rayo Vallecano
4
Inter Milan
10
Betis
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Key metrics
Cards
Atlético Madrid
6
last 5 matches
Real Madrid
9
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Real Madrid received +50% more cards than Atlético Madrid in the last 5 matches.
Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid cards count, last 5 matches
Osasuna
1
Real Sociedad
1
Liverpool
1
Athletic
1
Sevilla
2
2
Atlético Madrid
2
Elche CF
0
Rayo Vallecano
1
Inter Milan
4
Betis
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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