Azerbaijan vs Tajikistan Prediction | International Friendlies | 23/09

Azerbaijan and Tajikistan meet in an international friendly at 17:00 on Wednesday, 23/09.

This international friendly offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides looking to make a statement.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Tajikistan Win

Why we predict Tajikistan to win the match

Our prediction is Tajikistan to win the match.

Tajikistan have the quality and momentum to secure a win on the road. With their recent performances and attacking confidence, they’re well-positioned to claim victory.

Key Betting Insights

Azerbaijan

• Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 out of Azerbaijan's last 5 matches

Tajikistan

• Scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Tajikistan's last 5 matches

Tajikistan Win: 9/2

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	8/13	3/1	4/1
	8/13	3/1	9/2
	4/7	11/4	9/2

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Azerbaijan Preview

Azerbaijan comes into this clash with the following record in international friendlies:

• Matches played: 4

• Wins: 2

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 9 (Avg. 2.25)

• Goals Conceded: 5 (Avg. 1.25)

Across all competitions this season, the numbers are:

• Matches played: 10

• Wins: 2

• Draws: 2

• Losses: 6

• Goals Scored: 12 (Avg. 1.2)

• Goals Conceded: 21 (Avg. 2.1)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Azerbaijan

Goals Scored: 12

Goals Conceded: 21

Average Goals Scored: 1.2

Average Goals Conceded: 2.1

Wins: 2

Goal Difference: -9

Date	Game	Result
09/06	Azerbaijan 2 - 1 San Marino	W
05/06	Azerbaijan 0 - 2 Malta	L
30/03	Azerbaijan 1 - 1 Sierra Leone	D
27/03	Azerbaijan 6 - 1 St. Lucia	W
16/11	Azerbaijan 1 - 3 France	L

Azerbaijan to win the match: 8/13

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Tajikistan Preview

On the other hand, Tajikistan comes into this fixture with the following record in international friendlies:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 1

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 0

• Goals Scored: 4 (Avg. 2)

• Goals Conceded: 2 (Avg. 1)

Across all competitions this season, the team's performance reads:

• Matches played: 8

• Wins: 3

• Draws: 3

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 15 (Avg. 1.88)

• Goals Conceded: 9 (Avg. 1.13)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Tajikistan

Goals Scored: 15

Goals Conceded: 9

Average Goals Scored: 1.88

Average Goals Conceded: 1.13

Wins: 3

Goal Difference: 6

Date	Game	Result
09/06	Tajikistan 1 - 1 India	D
05/06	Tajikistan 3 - 1 India	W
31/03	Tajikistan 1 - 1 Philippines	D
18/11	Timor-Leste 0 - 5 Tajikistan	W
14/10	Maldives 0 - 3 Tajikistan	W

Tajikistan to win the match: 4/1

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Statistical Insights for Azerbaijan vs Tajikistan

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Azerbaijan vs Tajikistan fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Azerbaijan

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L D W L	1.4
Home	W L D W L	1.4
Away	L L L D L	0.2

Tajikistan

International - International Friendlies

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W D W W	2.2
Home	D W D W W	2.2
Away	W W D W D	2.2

Favourite

Home Win

8/13

60.98%

Draw

11/4

26.81%

Away Win

4/1

19.34%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: corners, cards, goals scored, and goals conceded.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Corners

Azerbaijan

25

last 5 matches

Tajikistan

22

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Azerbaijan received +14% more corners than Tajikistan in the last 5 matches.

Azerbaijan and Tajikistan corners count, last 5 matches

▲

San Marino

-1

Malta

12

Sierra Leone

3

St. Lucia

10

France

1

8

India

2

India

8

Philippines

2

Timor-Leste

2

Maldives

Key metrics

Cards

Azerbaijan

7

last 5 matches

Tajikistan

4

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Azerbaijan received +75% more cards than Tajikistan in the last 5 matches.

Azerbaijan and Tajikistan cards count, last 5 matches

▲

San Marino

4

Malta

1

Sierra Leone

0

St. Lucia

0

France

2

1

India

1

India

0

Philippines

1

Timor-Leste

1

Maldives

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Azerbaijan

10

last 5 matches

Tajikistan

13

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Tajikistan scored +30% more goals than Azerbaijan in the last 5 matches.

Azerbaijan and Tajikistan goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

San Marino

2

Malta

0

Sierra Leone

1

St. Lucia

6

France

1

1

India

3

India

1

Philippines

5

Timor-Leste

3

Maldives

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Azerbaijan

8

last 5 matches

Tajikistan

3

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Azerbaijan conceded +167% more goals than Tajikistan in the last 5 matches.

Azerbaijan and Tajikistan goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

San Marino

1

Malta

2

Sierra Leone

1

St. Lucia

1

France

3

1

India

1

India

1

Philippines

0

Timor-Leste

0

Maldives

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.