Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Stats | Bundesliga | 17/10
The encounter between Bayern München and RB Leipzig is set to kick off at 17:30 on Saturday, 17/10.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
1st Half Draw
Why we predict the first half to end in a draw
We expect a draw in the first half for the Bayern München vs RB Leipzig fixture.
Both sides are likely to approach the opening period cautiously, focusing on structure and possession. A balanced first half with limited chances could result in a level score at halftime.
Key Betting Insights
Bayern München
Scored 19 goals in their last 5 matches
7 matches against RB Leipzig ended in a draw
Undefeated in their last 5 clashes
RB Leipzig
Scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches
7 matches against Bayern München ended in a draw
Won 3 of their last 5 matches
1st Half Draw: 5/2
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Bayern München Preview
Bayern München has completed 5 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 2.2 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 16 goals (3.2 per game) and conceded 4 (0.8 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Bayern München has played 63 matches, scoring 211 goals (3.35 per match) and conceding 68 (1.08 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Bayern München
Goals Scored:214
Goals Conceded:71
Average Goals Scored:3.34
Average Goals Conceded:1.11
Wins:52
Goal Difference:143
Date
Game
Result
17/10
Bayern München
6 - 1
RB Leipzig
W
13/10
Viking
3 - 3
Bayern München
D
10/10
Augsburg
2 - 2
Bayern München
D
18/09
Bayern München
7 - 0
Union Berlin
W
13/09
Elversberg
1 - 2
Bayern München
W
Bayern München to win the match: 2/9
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RB Leipzig Preview
Across 5 Bundesliga matches, RB Leipzig has posted 3 victories, 0 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.8 points per fixture. In those games they scored 15 (3 per match) and conceded 5 (1 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, RB Leipzig has earned 27 wins from 45 matches across all competitions, scoring 99 goals (2.2 per match) and conceding 62 (1.38 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
RB Leipzig
Goals Scored:100
Goals Conceded:62
Average Goals Scored:2.17
Average Goals Conceded:1.35
Wins:28
Goal Difference:38
Date
Game
Result
17/10
Bayern München
6 - 1
RB Leipzig
L
13/10
RB Leipzig
1 - 0
PSV
W
10/10
RB Leipzig
6 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
20/09
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 0
RB Leipzig
L
13/09
RB Leipzig
5 - 0
Hamburger SV
W
RB Leipzig to win the match: 8/1
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Statistical Insights for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Bayern München vs RB Leipzig fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Bayern München
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
D
W
W
W
2.2
Home
W
W
W
W
W
3
Away
D
D
W
D
W
1.8
RB Leipzig
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
W
L
W
1.8
Home
W
W
W
W
W
3
Away
L
L
L
W
L
0.6
Favourite
Home Win
1/5
84.03%
Draw
7/1
12.5%
Away Win
15/2
11.63%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Bayern München
19
last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
13
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Bayern München scored +46% more goals than RB Leipzig in the last 5 matches.
Bayern München and RB Leipzig goals scored count, last 5 matches
Viking
3
Augsburg
2
Union Berlin
7
Elversberg
2
Bodo/Glimt
5
1
Bayern München
1
PSV
6
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
Bayer Leverkusen
5
Hamburger SV
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Bayern München
6
last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
8
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
RB Leipzig conceded +33% more goals than Bayern München in the last 5 matches.
Bayern München and RB Leipzig goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Viking
3
Augsburg
2
Union Berlin
0
Elversberg
1
Bodo/Glimt
0
6
Bayern München
0
PSV
0
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
Bayer Leverkusen
0
Hamburger SV
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Key metrics
Corners
Bayern München
48
last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
25
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Bayern München received +92% more corners than RB Leipzig in the last 5 matches.
Bayern München and RB Leipzig corners count, last 5 matches
Viking
15
Augsburg
9
Union Berlin
9
Elversberg
9
Bodo/Glimt
6
3
Bayern München
6
PSV
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
6
Bayer Leverkusen
7
Hamburger SV
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Key metrics
Cards
Bayern München
4
last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
6
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
RB Leipzig received +50% more cards than Bayern München in the last 5 matches.
Bayern München and RB Leipzig cards count, last 5 matches
Viking
3
Augsburg
0
Union Berlin
1
Elversberg
0
Bodo/Glimt
0
0
Bayern München
1
PSV
1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
Bayer Leverkusen
1
Hamburger SV
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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