Friday, 06 November 2026 at 20:00
The encounter between Derby County and Bolton Wanderers is set to kick off at 20:00 on Friday, 06/11.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet We expect the match between Derby County and Bolton Wanderers to end in a draw. Both teams appear evenly matched, and we expect a balanced contest where neither side fully dominates. A draw looks like a likely outcome after 90 minutes.
Draw: 13/5
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £36.00
Draw
Why we predict a draw
Key Betting Insights
Derby County
Bolton Wanderers
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Derby County has completed 13 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 1 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses — an average of 0.54 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 11 goals (0.85 per game) and conceded 25 (1.92 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Derby County has played 15 matches, scoring 12 goals (0.8 per match) and conceding 31 (2.07 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Derby County to win the match: 7/5
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £24.00
Derby County
Date
Game
Result
03/11
L
31/10
L
24/10
D
17/10
L
14/10
L
Across 13 EFL Championship matches, Bolton Wanderers has posted 4 victories, 2 stalemates, and 7 defeats, averaging 1.08 points per fixture. In those games they scored 18 (1.38 per match) and conceded 26 (2 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Bolton Wanderers has earned 5 wins from 15 matches across all competitions, scoring 19 goals (1.27 per match) and conceding 27 (1.8 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Bolton Wanderers to win the match: 7/4
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £27.50
Bolton Wanderers
Date
Game
Result
03/11
W
31/10
L
23/10
L
17/10
D
13/10
W
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers fixture.
Key metrics England - EFL Championship England - EFL ChampionshipTeam Form
Derby County
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
L
D
L
L
0.2
Home
L
L
D
L
L
0.2
Away
L
D
L
D
L
0.4
Bolton Wanderers
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
L
D
W
1.4
Home
L
L
L
W
L
0.6
Away
W
D
W
W
L
2
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics 3 last 5 matches 7 last 5 matches
Bolton Wanderers scored +133% more goals than Derby County in the last 5 matches.
Goals Scored
Derby County
Bolton Wanderers
Performance Gap
Norwich City
Millwall
Sheffield United
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers
Key metrics 14 last 5 matches 9 last 5 matches
Derby County conceded +56% more goals than Bolton Wanderers in the last 5 matches.
Goals Conceded
Derby County
Bolton Wanderers
Performance Gap
Norwich City
Millwall
Sheffield United
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers
Key metrics 25 last 5 matches 22 last 5 matches
Derby County received +14% more corners than Bolton Wanderers in the last 5 matches.
Corners
Derby County
Bolton Wanderers
Performance Gap
Norwich City
Millwall
Sheffield United
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers
Key metrics 10 last 5 matches 9 last 5 matches
Derby County received +11% more cards than Bolton Wanderers in the last 5 matches.
Cards
Derby County
Bolton Wanderers
Performance Gap
Norwich City
Millwall
Sheffield United
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers
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