Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00
The encounter between Derby County and Wrexham is set to kick off at 15:00 on Saturday, 10/10.
This EFL Championship fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet Our prediction is Derby County to win the match. We anticipate Derby County to make the most of their home advantage, controlling key phases of play and ultimately taking all three points.
Derby County Win: 13/8
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £26.25
Derby County Win
Why we predict Derby County to win the match
Key Betting Insights
Derby County
Wrexham
Bet £10 Get £40
New customers only | T&Cs apply
Derby County has completed 8 fixtures in the EFL Championship, securing 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses — an average of 0.63 points per game. In the EFL Championship, the team has scored 7 goals (0.88 per game) and conceded 14 (1.75 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Derby County has played 58 matches, scoring 78 goals (1.34 per match) and conceding 81 (1.4 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Derby County to win the match: 13/8
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £26.25
Derby County
Date
Game
Result
19/09
D
12/09
L
09/09
L
05/09
L
01/09
W
Across 8 EFL Championship matches, Wrexham has posted 2 victories, 4 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.25 points per fixture. In those games they scored 9 (1.13 per match) and conceded 12 (1.5 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Wrexham has earned 24 wins from 62 matches across all competitions, scoring 93 goals (1.5 per match) and conceding 92 (1.48 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Wrexham to win the match: 6/4
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £25.00
Wrexham
Date
Game
Result
19/09
W
11/09
L
08/09
D
05/09
D
02/09
W
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Derby County vs Wrexham fixture.
Key metrics England - EFL Championship England - EFL ChampionshipTeam Form
Derby County
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
D
L
L
L
W
0.8
Home
L
L
L
D
L
0.2
Away
D
L
W
L
W
1.4
Wrexham
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
D
D
W
1.6
Home
W
D
L
D
D
1.2
Away
L
D
W
D
L
1
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics 4 last 5 matches 6 last 5 matches
Wrexham scored +50% more goals than Derby County in the last 5 matches.
Goals Scored
Derby County
Wrexham
Performance Gap
Burnley
Birmingham City
West Bromwich
West Ham
Portsmouth
Key metrics 7 last 5 matches 8 last 5 matches
Wrexham conceded +14% more goals than Derby County in the last 5 matches.
Goals Conceded
Derby County
Wrexham
Performance Gap
Burnley
Birmingham City
West Bromwich
West Ham
Portsmouth
Key metrics 35 last 5 matches 16 last 5 matches
Derby County received +119% more corners than Wrexham in the last 5 matches.
Corners
Derby County
Wrexham
Performance Gap
Burnley
Birmingham City
West Bromwich
West Ham
Portsmouth
Key metrics 7 last 5 matches 4 last 5 matches
Derby County received +75% more cards than Wrexham in the last 5 matches.
Cards
Derby County
Wrexham
Performance Gap
Burnley
Birmingham City
West Bromwich
West Ham
Portsmouth
Users must be 18+. If you are having trouble with gambling then help and advice can be found at begambleaware.org. Please Play Responsibly.