Thursday, 16 July 2026 at 19:45
The encounter between Linfield and Nõmme Kalju is set to kick off at 19:45 on Thursday, 16/07, at Windsor Park.
This Europa Conference League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams’ recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet Our prediction is Linfield to win the match. We anticipate Linfield to make the most of their home advantage, controlling key phases of play and ultimately taking all three points.
Linfield Win: 8/13
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £16.15
Linfield Win
Why we predict Linfield to win the match
Key Betting Insights
Linfield
Nõmme Kalju
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Linfield is coming to the clash with Nõmme Kalju with the current statistics in the Europa Conference League:
Matches played: 1
Wins: 0
Draws: 0
Losses: 1
Goals Scored: 0 (Avg. 0)
Goals Conceded: 1 (Avg. 1)
When having a broader look at Linfield's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:
Matches played: 48
Wins: 22
Draws: 11
Losses: 15
Goals Scored: 71 (Avg. 1.48)
Goals Conceded: 44 (Avg. 0.92)
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Linfield to win the match: 8/15
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £15.33
Linfield
Date
Game
Result
09/07
L
12/05
W
25/04
L
18/04
L
11/04
L
On the other hand, Nõmme Kalju comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa Conference League:
Matches played: 1
Wins: 1
Draws: 0
Losses: 0
Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 1)
Goals Conceded: 0 (Avg. 0)
Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:
Matches played: 24
Wins: 12
Draws: 6
Losses: 6
Goals Scored: 38 (Avg. 1.58)
Goals Conceded: 20 (Avg. 0.83)
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Nõmme Kalju to win the match: 7/2
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £45.00
Nõmme Kalju
Date
Game
Result
09/07
W
03/07
W
28/06
D
20/06
D
17/06
L
Here’s a statistical breakdown comparing each team’s key metrics to the league average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Linfield vs Nõmme Kalju fixture.
Key metrics compared to league averageMatch Statistics Overview
Statistic
Teams Combined Average
League Average
Goal Average
Both Teams to Score
Over 1.5+
Over 2.5+
Cards
Corners
Key metrics Europe - Europa Conference League Europe - Europa Conference LeagueTeam Form
Linfield
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
L
W
L
L
L
0.6
Home
W
L
L
L
W
1.2
Away
L
W
D
L
L
0.8
Nõmme Kalju
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
D
D
L
1.6
Home
W
D
L
D
W
1.6
Away
W
D
L
W
W
2
Here’s a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: corners, cards, goals scored, and goals conceded.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics 30 last 5 matches 23 last 5 matches
Linfield received +30% more corners than Nõmme Kalju in the last 5 matches.
Corners
Linfield
Nõmme Kalju
Performance Gap
Nõmme Kalju
Dungannon Swifts
Cliftonville
Coleraine
Larne
Key metrics 6 last 5 matches 6 last 5 matches
Both teams got the same number of cards in the last 5 matches.
Cards
Linfield
Nõmme Kalju
Performance Gap
Nõmme Kalju
Dungannon Swifts
Cliftonville
Coleraine
Larne
Key metrics 4 last 5 matches 7 last 5 matches
Nõmme Kalju scored +75% more goals than Linfield in the last 5 matches.
Goals Scored
Linfield
Nõmme Kalju
Performance Gap
Nõmme Kalju
Dungannon Swifts
Cliftonville
Coleraine
Larne
Key metrics 9 last 5 matches 5 last 5 matches
Linfield conceded +80% more goals than Nõmme Kalju in the last 5 matches.
Goals Conceded
Linfield
Nõmme Kalju
Performance Gap
Nõmme Kalju
Dungannon Swifts
Cliftonville
Coleraine
Larne
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