The encounter between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen is set to kick off at 14:30 on Saturday, 10/10.
This Bundesliga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our Recommended Bet
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet
2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals
Why we predict over 1.5 Goals in the second half
Our recommended bet is Second Half – Over 1.5 Goals for the Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen fixture. We anticipate a more attacking second period, with both teams increasing tempo and risk. Substitutions and stretched defenses could lead to two or more goals after the break.
Key Betting Insights
Mainz 05
Scored 19 goals in their last 5 matches
6 matches against Bayer Leverkusen ended in a draw
Won 3 of their last 5 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches
6 matches against Mainz 05 ended in a draw
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches
2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals: 8/11
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £17.27
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Mainz 05 Preview
Mainz 05 has completed 4 fixtures in the Bundesliga, securing 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses — an average of 1.75 points per game. In the Bundesliga, the team has scored 10 goals (2.5 per game) and conceded 6 (1.5 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Mainz 05 has played 53 matches, scoring 80 goals (1.51 per match) and conceding 71 (1.34 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Mainz 05
Goals Scored:80
Goals Conceded:71
Average Goals Scored:1.51
Average Goals Conceded:1.34
Wins:21
Goal Difference:9
Date
Game
Result
19/09
Borussia M'gladbach
3 - 4
Mainz 05
W
12/09
Mainz 05
1 - 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
06/09
Hamburger SV
0 - 5
Mainz 05
W
29/08
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Paderborn
D
23/08
Krieschow
0 - 9
Mainz 05
W
Mainz 05 to win the match: 15/8
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £28.75
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Bayer Leverkusen Preview
Across 4 Bundesliga matches, Bayer Leverkusen has posted 2 victories, 1 stalemates, and 1 defeats, averaging 1.75 points per fixture. In those games they scored 10 (2.5 per match) and conceded 5 (1.25 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Bayer Leverkusen has earned 29 wins from 57 matches across all competitions, scoring 112 goals (1.96 per match) and conceding 73 (1.28 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Bayer Leverkusen
Goals Scored:112
Goals Conceded:73
Average Goals Scored:1.96
Average Goals Conceded:1.28
Wins:29
Goal Difference:39
Date
Game
Result
20/09
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 0
RB Leipzig
W
16/09
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 0
Celje
W
12/09
Augsburg
2 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
D
05/09
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
Union Berlin
W
29/08
Elversberg
3 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
L
Bayer Leverkusen to win the match: 5/4
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £22.50
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Statistical Insights for Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen fixture.
Key metrics
Team Form
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
L
W
D
W
2
Home
L
D
L
L
L
0.2
Away
W
W
W
W
W
3
Bayer Leverkusen
Germany - Bundesliga
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
D
W
L
2
Home
W
W
W
D
W
2.6
Away
D
L
W
L
W
1.4
Home Win
2/1
33.33%
Draw
11/4
27.03%
Favourite
Away Win
5/4
44.44%
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Key Metrics
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics
Goals Scored
Mainz 05
19
last 5 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
12
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 scored +58% more goals than Bayer Leverkusen in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen goals scored count, last 5 matches
Borussia M'gladbach
4
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Hamburger SV
5
Paderborn
0
Krieschow
9
2
RB Leipzig
2
Celje
2
Augsburg
4
Union Berlin
2
Elversberg
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Key metrics
Goals Conceded
Mainz 05
6
last 5 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
5
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 conceded +20% more goals than Bayer Leverkusen in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen goals conceded count, last 5 matches
Borussia M'gladbach
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
Hamburger SV
0
Paderborn
0
Krieschow
0
0
RB Leipzig
0
Celje
2
Augsburg
0
Union Berlin
3
Elversberg
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Key metrics
Corners
Mainz 05
33
last 5 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
43
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Bayer Leverkusen received +30% more corners than Mainz 05 in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen corners count, last 5 matches
Borussia M'gladbach
4
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
Hamburger SV
5
Paderborn
11
Krieschow
9
9
RB Leipzig
6
Celje
14
Augsburg
11
Union Berlin
3
Elversberg
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Key metrics
Cards
Mainz 05
10
last 5 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
7
last 5 matches
Performance Gap
Mainz 05 received +43% more cards than Bayer Leverkusen in the last 5 matches.
Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen cards count, last 5 matches
Borussia M'gladbach
5
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
Hamburger SV
3
Paderborn
1
Krieschow
1
2
RB Leipzig
0
Celje
1
Augsburg
2
Union Berlin
2
Elversberg
Dave Kuzio
Content Manager
Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.
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